Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar Prediction

FKF Premier League · Sat 14 Nov 2026
Kenya flag Kenya : FKF Premier League
Nairobi UnitedDDDLD
12:00
Sat 14 Nov, 12:00
Mara SugarWDDLW
Kick-offSat 14 Nov, 12:00
Our tip1 @ 2.27
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Nairobi UnitedDDDLD
08 Nov 26AGOR Mahia1 - 1FKF Premier League
28 Oct 26AMurang'a SEAL2 - 3FKF Premier League
25 Oct 26HAPS Bomet1 - 1FKF Premier League
18 Oct 26AShabana0 - 0FKF Premier League
11 Oct 26HKCB2 - 2FKF Premier League
Mara SugarWDDLW
07 Nov 26HMigori Youth2 - 1FKF Premier League
02 Nov 26ATusker1 - 3FKF Premier League
28 Oct 26HAFC Leopards0 - 0FKF Premier League
24 Oct 26AUlinzi Stars0 - 0FKF Premier League
19 Oct 26HMombasa Elite2 - 1FKF Premier League

Head to head

Nairobi United 1 · Draws 3 · Mara Sugar 2 (6 meetings)

01 Apr 26Nairobi United1 - 1Mara SugarFKF Premier League
01 Oct 25Mara Sugar0 - 1Nairobi UnitedFKF Premier League
01 Jun 25Nairobi United1 - 1Mara SugarShield Cup
01 Jun 25Nairobi United1 - 1Mara SugarShield Cup
02 Jun 24Mara Sugar1 - 0Nairobi UnitedSuper League
16 Dec 23Nairobi United0 - 2Mara SugarSuper League

Full head to head: Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar →

Our prediction

Nairobi United to win

@ 2.27
Double chance
12  •  Nairobi United or Mara Sugar
@ 1.35
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.62
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Nairobi Unitedlast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips on Mara Sugarlast 18 tipped matches
11/1861%
Our tips in FKF Premier Leaguelast 30 days
12/3238%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Tap your pick – see what other fans think.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 76%Under 2.5: 24%
Expected goals
2.00Nairobi United
4.00Total
2.00Mara Sugar

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 7%
1 – 2 Mara Sugar win 7%
2 – 1 Nairobi United win 7%
2 – 2 Draw 7%
1 – 3 Mara Sugar win 5%
3 – 0 Nairobi United win 2% Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Nairobi United45%
Draw19%
Mara Sugar36%

Odds (1X2)

12.27
X2.85
23.15

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar preview

Nairobi United host Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Nairobi United a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mara Sugar 36%. That makes our pick Nairobi United to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.27. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Nairobi United or Mara Sugar) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.35.

Goals: we expect about 4.0 goals (2.0 for Nairobi United, 2.0 for Mara Sugar). The chance of three or more goals is 76%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence).

Form and head to head

Nairobi United have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-L-D), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Mara Sugar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-D-L-W), scoring 5 and conceding 5. In their last 6 meetings, Nairobi United won 1, Mara Sugar won 2 and 3 ended level. In the table, Nairobi United are 15th with 5 points and Mara Sugar are 6th with 9 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?

Our prediction is Nairobi United to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.27. Win chances: Nairobi United 45%, draw 19%, Mara Sugar 36%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 76%).

What time is Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?

Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 12:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar?

The double chance 12 (Nairobi United or Mara Sugar) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.35. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

FKF Premier League table

Nairobi United15th5 pts
Mara Sugar6th9 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 GOR Mahia 6411 413
2 KCB 6411 413
3 AFC Leopards 6240 310
4 Kenya Police 6231 19
5 Shabana 6231 19
6 Mara Sugar 6231 09
7 3K 6231 -19
8 Murang'a SEAL 6222 28
9 Bandari 6141 07
10 Posta Rangers FC 6213 -47
11 Tusker 4202 26
12 Migori Youth 5131 16
13 APS Bomet 6132 16
14 Ulinzi Stars 6132 -26
15 Nairobi United 6051 -15
16 Mathare United 6123 -25
17 Homeboyz 5122 -25
18 Mombasa Elite 6015 -71