Necaxa vs Leon Prediction

Liga MX · Tue 18 Aug 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
Necaxa logoNecaxa
1 - 2
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Leon logoLeon
Kick-offTue 18 Aug, 02:00
Our tip1 @ 2.54 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Backup1X ✗
GoalsOver 2.5 ✓
Both scoredYes

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Our prediction

Necaxa to win

@ 2.54
Backup prediction
1X  •  Necaxa or Draw
@ 1.50
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 54%Under 2.5: 46%
Expected goals
1.77Necaxa
2.83Total
1.06Leon

Win probability

Necaxa44%
Draw17%
Leon39%

Odds (1X2)

12.54
X3.55
22.54

Necaxa vs Leon preview and result

Necaxa and Leon met in the Liga MX on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Necaxa a 44% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Leon 39%. Our pick was Necaxa to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.54. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Necaxa or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.50.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.8 for Necaxa, 1.1 for Leon). The chance of three or more goals is 54%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

In the table, Necaxa are 17th with 10 points and Leon are 7th with 22 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Necaxa vs Leon?

Our pre-match prediction is Necaxa to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.54. Win chances: Necaxa 44%, draw 17%, Leon 39%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Necaxa vs Leon?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 54%).

What time is Necaxa vs Leon?

Necaxa vs Leon (Liga MX) was played on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Necaxa vs Leon?

The double chance 1X (Necaxa or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.50. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Necaxa17th10 pts
Leon7th22 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Club America 15852 1529
2 Guadalajara Chivas 15852 1129
3 Cruz Azul 15924 1029
4 Atlas 15834 027
5 Toluca 15663 1024
6 Club Tijuana 15573 422
7 Leon 15645 222
8 Santos Laguna 15717 122
9 Monterrey 14635 521
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15555 -220
11 Club Queretaro 14626 -320
12 CF Pachuca 15546 619
13 Atletico San Luis 15546 -419
14 Puebla 15447 -616
15 Tigres UANL 15366 -715
16 Atlante FC 15357 -814
17 Necaxa 15249 -1210
18 FC Juarez 152211 -228