New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction

USL Championship · Sun 10 May 2026
USA flag USA : USL Championship
3 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Las Vegas LightsLWLLL
Kick-offSun 10 May, 02:00
Our tip1 @ 1.73 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
New Mexico United

No matches found.

Las Vegas LightsLWLLL
25 Oct 26AMonterey Bay1 - 2USL Championship
18 Oct 26HLexington3 - 5USL Championship
11 Oct 26APhoenix Rising2 - 3USL Championship
04 Oct 26HSan Antonio1 - 0USL Championship
01 Oct 26ASacramento Republic2 - 3USL Championship

Head to head

Full head to head: New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights →

Our prediction

New Mexico United to win

@ 1.73
Double chance
1X  •  New Mexico United or Draw
@ 1.17
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.65
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips in USL Championshiplast 30 days
21/3855%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 64%Under 2.5: 36%
Expected goals
1.41New Mexico United
3.29Total
1.88Las Vegas Lights

Possible correct scores

2 – 1 New Mexico United win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.50
1 – 0 New Mexico United win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 0 New Mexico United win 8% @ 7.50
3 – 1 New Mexico United win 6% @ 10.00 ✓ Final score

Final score: 3 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

New Mexico United70%
Draw16%
Las Vegas Lights14%

Odds (1X2)

11.73
X3.65
24.10

New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights preview and result

New Mexico United and Las Vegas Lights met in the USL Championship on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives New Mexico United a 70% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Las Vegas Lights 14%. Our pick was New Mexico United to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.73. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (New Mexico United or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.17.

Goals: we expect about 3.3 goals (1.4 for New Mexico United, 1.9 for Las Vegas Lights). The chance of three or more goals is 64%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Las Vegas Lights have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-L), scoring 9 and conceding 13.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?

Our pre-match prediction is New Mexico United to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.73. Win chances: New Mexico United 70%, draw 16%, Las Vegas Lights 14%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 64%).

What time is New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?

New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) was played on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for New Mexico United vs Las Vegas Lights?

The double chance 1X (New Mexico United or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.17. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.