Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction

FA Cup · Sat 7 Mar 2026
England flag England : FA Cup
NewcastleLLWLL
21:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 7 Mar
Manchester CityWLDLW
Kick-offSat 7 Mar, 21:00
Our tip2 @ 2.08
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence65%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
NewcastleLLWLL
02 Nov 26HEverton0 - 1Premier League
29 Oct 26AEverton1 - 3League Cup
25 Oct 26ACrystal Palace2 - 0Premier League
17 Oct 26HAston Villa0 - 1Premier League
12 Oct 26ACoventry1 - 4Premier League
Manchester CityWLDLW
04 Nov 26ARB Leipzig3 - 2UEFA Champions League
31 Oct 26HBrighton0 - 1Premier League
28 Oct 26HBrighton2 - 2League Cup
24 Oct 26AAston Villa1 - 2Premier League
20 Oct 26HAEK Athens FC5 - 1UEFA Champions League

Head to head

Full head to head: Newcastle vs Manchester City →

Our prediction

Manchester City to win

@ 2.08
Double chance
12  •  Newcastle or Manchester City
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.48
Confidence
65%

Our record

Our tips on Newcastlelast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Manchester Citylast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in FA Cuplast 30 days
34/7247%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 94%Under 2.5: 6%
Expected goals
2.22Newcastle
6.00Total
3.78Manchester City

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 6.50
1 – 2 Manchester City win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
2 – 1 Newcastle win 7% @ 9.00
0 – 1 Manchester City win 7% @ 9.00
2 – 2 Draw 6% @ 10.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Newcastle28%
Draw17%
Manchester City55%

Odds (1X2)

13.15
X3.70
22.08

Newcastle vs Manchester City preview

Newcastle host Manchester City in the FA Cup (England) on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Newcastle a 28% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Manchester City 55%. That makes our pick Manchester City to win with 65% confidence at odds of 2.08. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Newcastle or Manchester City) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 6.0 goals (2.2 for Newcastle, 3.8 for Manchester City). The chance of three or more goals is 94%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence).

Form and head to head

Newcastle have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-L-L), scoring 4 and conceding 9. Manchester City have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-L-W), scoring 11 and conceding 8.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Newcastle vs Manchester City?

Our prediction is Manchester City to win (65% confidence) at odds of 2.08. Win chances: Newcastle 28%, draw 17%, Manchester City 55%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Newcastle vs Manchester City?

We expect about 6.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 94%).

What time is Newcastle vs Manchester City?

Newcastle vs Manchester City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Newcastle vs Manchester City?

The double chance 12 (Newcastle or Manchester City) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.