Newport City vs Baglan Dragons Prediction

FAW Championship · Fri 6 Mar 2026
Wales flag Wales : FAW Championship
Newport CityLWDWD
1 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Kick-offFri 6 Mar, 20:30
Our tip1 @ 1.62 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Newport CityLWDWD
06 Nov 26HTreowen Stars2 - 2FAW Championship
31 Oct 26ALlantwit Major3 - 2FAW Championship
23 Oct 26HPontypridd Town4 - 4FAW Championship
17 Oct 26ACarmarthen Town5 - 4Welsh Cup
09 Oct 26ACaerphilly Athletic2 - 3FAW Championship
Baglan Dragons

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Newport City vs Baglan Dragons →

Our prediction

Newport City to win

@ 1.62
Double chance
12  •  Newport City or Baglan Dragons
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Newport Citylast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips in FAW Championshiplast 30 days
22/4252%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
2.18Newport City
2.50Total
0.32Baglan Dragons

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Newport City win 10% @ 7.50
2 – 0 Newport City win 10% @ 8.00
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 8.00
2 – 1 Newport City win 8% @ 9.50
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 10.00
3 – 0 Newport City win 7% @ 11.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Newport City64%
Draw15%
Baglan Dragons21%

Odds (1X2)

11.62
X3.70
24.50

Newport City vs Baglan Dragons preview and result

Newport City and Baglan Dragons met in the FAW Championship on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Newport City a 64% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Baglan Dragons 21%. Our pick was Newport City to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.62. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Newport City or Baglan Dragons) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (2.2 for Newport City, 0.3 for Baglan Dragons). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Newport City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-D-W-D), scoring 16 and conceding 15.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Newport City vs Baglan Dragons?

Our pre-match prediction is Newport City to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.62. Win chances: Newport City 64%, draw 15%, Baglan Dragons 21%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Newport City vs Baglan Dragons?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Newport City vs Baglan Dragons?

Newport City vs Baglan Dragons (FAW Championship) was played on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Newport City vs Baglan Dragons?

The double chance 12 (Newport City or Baglan Dragons) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.