Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic Prediction

Welsh Cup · Sat 14 Nov 2026
Wales flag Wales : Welsh Cup
Newtown AFC
15:00
Sat 14 Nov, 15:00
Kick-offSat 14 Nov, 15:00
Our tip1
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic →

Our prediction

Newtown AFC to win

Double chance
12  •  Newtown AFC or Caerphilly Athletic
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips in Welsh Cuplast 30 days
10/3231%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Tap your pick – see what other fans think.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
95%
Over 2.5: 76%Under 2.5: 24%
Expected goals
3.49Newtown AFC
4.00Total
0.51Caerphilly Athletic

Possible correct scores

3 – 0 Newtown AFC win 13% Our pick
4 – 0 Newtown AFC win 11%
2 – 0 Newtown AFC win 11%
5 – 0 Newtown AFC win 8%
3 – 1 Newtown AFC win 7%

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Newtown AFC61%
Draw11%
Caerphilly Athletic28%

Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic preview

Newtown AFC host Caerphilly Athletic in the Welsh Cup (Wales) on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Newtown AFC a 61% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Caerphilly Athletic 28%. That makes our pick Newtown AFC to win with 70% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Newtown AFC or Caerphilly Athletic) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 4.0 goals (3.5 for Newtown AFC, 0.5 for Caerphilly Athletic). The chance of three or more goals is 76%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (95% confidence).

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?

Our prediction is Newtown AFC to win (70% confidence). Win chances: Newtown AFC 61%, draw 11%, Caerphilly Athletic 28%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 95% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 76%).

What time is Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?

Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic (Welsh Cup) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Newtown AFC vs Caerphilly Athletic?

The double chance 12 (Newtown AFC or Caerphilly Athletic) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.