Noja vs Castro Prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 3 · Sat 21 Feb 2026
Spain flag Spain : Tercera División RFEF Group 3
Noja
1 - 4
Full time · HT 0 - 2
CastroLWLLL
Kick-offSat 21 Feb, 16:15
Our tip1 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Noja

No matches found.

CastroLWLLL
08 Nov 26AVimenor0 - 3Tercera División RFEF Group 3
31 Oct 26HBarquereño0 - 1Tercera División RFEF Group 3
25 Oct 26ANaval Reinosa1 - 2Tercera División RFEF Group 3
17 Oct 26HEscobedo3 - 0Tercera División RFEF Group 3
10 Oct 26AAtlético Albericia2 - 4Tercera División RFEF Group 3

Head to head

Full head to head: Noja vs Castro →

Our prediction

Noja to win

Double chance
12  •  Noja or Castro
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Castrolast 18 tipped matches
8/1844%
Our tips in Tercera División RFEF Group 3last 30 days
22/4549%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 42%Under 2.5: 58%
Expected goals
1.32Noja
2.36Total
1.04Castro

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 13%
1 – 0 Noja win 12% Our pick
0 – 1 Castro win 10%
0 – 0 Draw 9%
2 – 1 Noja win 9%

Final score: 1 – 4 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Noja46%
Draw11%
Castro43%

Noja vs Castro preview and result

Noja and Castro met in the Tercera División RFEF Group 3 on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 4, 0 - 2 at half time.

Our model gives Noja a 46% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Castro 43%. Our pick was Noja to win with 55% confidence. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Noja or Castro) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.3 for Noja, 1.0 for Castro). The chance of three or more goals is 42%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Castro have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-L), scoring 6 and conceding 10.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Noja vs Castro?

Our pre-match prediction is Noja to win (55% confidence). Win chances: Noja 46%, draw 11%, Castro 43%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Noja vs Castro?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 42%).

What time is Noja vs Castro?

Noja vs Castro (Tercera División RFEF Group 3) was played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Noja vs Castro?

The double chance 12 (Noja or Castro) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.