Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel Prediction

Segunda Liga · Sun 17 May 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Segunda Liga
Pacos FerreiraDWWLW
2 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 0
PenafielLLWWW
Kick-offSun 17 May, 20:30
Our tip1 @ 1.68 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Pacos FerreiraDWWLW
08 Nov 26HTrofense4 - 3Liga 3
30 Oct 26AFafe1 - 3Liga 3
23 Oct 26HLeça1 - 0Liga 3
11 Oct 26AGuimaraes B1 - 0Liga 3
13 Sep 26HSão João Ver1 - 1Liga 3
PenafielLLWWW
07 Nov 26AChaves3 - 2Segunda Liga
02 Nov 26HFeirense1 - 0Segunda Liga
24 Oct 26AFarense4 - 1Segunda Liga
17 Oct 26HLeça0 - 1Taça De Portugal
09 Oct 26HAVS1 - 2Segunda Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel →

Our prediction

Pacos Ferreira to win

@ 1.68
Double chance
1X  •  Pacos Ferreira or Draw
@ 1.14
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.95
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Pacos Ferreiralast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Penafiellast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Segunda Ligalast 30 days
9/2733%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 40%Under 2.5: 60%
Expected goals
0.76Pacos Ferreira
2.30Total
1.54Penafiel

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Pacos Ferreira win 10% @ 6.25 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Pacos Ferreira win 10% @ 6.50 ✓ Final score
2 – 0 Pacos Ferreira win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 9.00

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Pacos Ferreira64%
Draw23%
Penafiel13%

Odds (1X2)

11.68
X3.70
24.45

Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel preview and result

Pacos Ferreira and Penafiel met in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Pacos Ferreira a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Penafiel 13%. Our pick was Pacos Ferreira to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.68. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Pacos Ferreira or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.14.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (0.8 for Pacos Ferreira, 1.5 for Penafiel). The chance of three or more goals is 40%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Pacos Ferreira have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 7. Penafiel have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 6.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel?

Our pre-match prediction is Pacos Ferreira to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.68. Win chances: Pacos Ferreira 64%, draw 23%, Penafiel 13%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 40%).

What time is Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel?

Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel (Segunda Liga) was played on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 20:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Pacos Ferreira vs Penafiel?

The double chance 1X (Pacos Ferreira or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.14. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.