Pafos vs AEK Larnaca Prediction

1. Division · Sat 18 Apr 2026
Cyprus flag Cyprus : 1. Division
PafosDDDDL
16:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 18 Apr
AEK LarnacaDWWDW
Kick-offSat 18 Apr, 16:00
Our tip1 @ 2.05
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
PafosDDDDL
05 Nov 26ATwente1 - 3UEFA Europa Conference League
31 Oct 26AApollon Limassol2 - 21. Division
26 Oct 26ANea Salamis0 - 01. Division
22 Oct 26HRiga1 - 1UEFA Europa Conference League
19 Oct 26HApoel Nicosia0 - 01. Division
AEK LarnacaDWWDW
06 Nov 26HKarmiotissa4 - 11. Division
31 Oct 26AKrasava Ypsonas2 - 21. Division
26 Oct 26HOmonia Nicosia2 - 01. Division
21 Oct 26HAkritas3 - 2Cup
18 Oct 26AAris1 - 11. Division

Head to head

Full head to head: Pafos vs AEK Larnaca →

Our prediction

Pafos to win

@ 2.05
Double chance
12  •  Pafos or AEK Larnaca
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Pafoslast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in 1. Divisionlast 30 days
16/2955%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 52%Under 2.5: 48%
Expected goals
1.78Pafos
2.74Total
0.96AEK Larnaca

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Pafos win 11% @ 5.75
2 – 1 Pafos win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 7.50
0 – 1 AEK Larnaca win 8% @ 8.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Pafos46%
Draw18%
AEK Larnaca36%

Odds (1X2)

12.05
X3.10
23.40

Pafos vs AEK Larnaca preview

Pafos host AEK Larnaca in the 1. Division (Cyprus) on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Pafos a 46% chance of winning, the draw 18% and AEK Larnaca 36%. That makes our pick Pafos to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.05. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Pafos or AEK Larnaca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.8 for Pafos, 1.0 for AEK Larnaca). The chance of three or more goals is 52%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Pafos have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-L), scoring 4 and conceding 6. AEK Larnaca have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-D-W), scoring 12 and conceding 6.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Pafos vs AEK Larnaca?

Our prediction is Pafos to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.05. Win chances: Pafos 46%, draw 18%, AEK Larnaca 36%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pafos vs AEK Larnaca?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 52%).

What time is Pafos vs AEK Larnaca?

Pafos vs AEK Larnaca (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 16:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Pafos vs AEK Larnaca?

The double chance 12 (Pafos or AEK Larnaca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.