Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia Prediction

Friendlies · Thu 24 Sep 2026
World : Friendlies
Papua New GuineaLLD
1 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
New CaledoniaLWLL
Kick-offThu 24 Sep, 08:00
Our tip2 @ 3.10 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
BackupX2 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5 ✗
Both scoredYes

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Papua New GuineaLLD
30 Sep 26HSolomon Islands1 - 1Friendlies
27 Sep 26AFiji0 - 2Friendlies
24 Sep 26HNew Caledonia1 - 2Friendlies
New CaledoniaLWLL
30 Sep 26AFiji1 - 2Friendlies
27 Sep 26AVanuatu1 - 4Friendlies
24 Sep 26APapua New Guinea2 - 1Friendlies
21 Sep 26HSolomon Islands0 - 2Friendlies

Head to head

Papua New Guinea 0 · Draws 0 · New Caledonia 1 (1 meetings)

24 Sep 26Papua New Guinea1 - 2New CaledoniaFriendlies

Full head to head: Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia →

Our prediction

New Caledonia to win

@ 3.10
Backup prediction
X2  •  Draw or New Caledonia
@ 1.62
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 32%Under 2.5: 68%
Expected goals
–Papua New Guinea
2.00Total
–New Caledonia

Win probability

Papua New Guinea36%
Draw18%
New Caledonia46%

Odds (1X2)

12.20
X3.10
23.10

Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia preview and result

Papua New Guinea and New Caledonia met in the Friendlies on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 08:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Papua New Guinea a 36% chance of winning, the draw 18% and New Caledonia 46%. Our pick was New Caledonia to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.10. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or New Caledonia) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.62.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals. The chance of three or more goals is 32%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Papua New Guinea have 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches (L-L-D), scoring 2 and conceding 5. New Caledonia have 1 win, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches (L-W-L-L), scoring 4 and conceding 9. In their last 1 meeting, Papua New Guinea won 0, New Caledonia won 1 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia?

Our pre-match prediction is New Caledonia to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.10. Win chances: Papua New Guinea 36%, draw 18%, New Caledonia 46%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 32%).

What time is Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia?

Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia (Friendlies) was played on Thursday 24 September 2026 at 08:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia?

The double chance X2 (Draw or New Caledonia) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.62. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.