Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea Prediction

UEFA Champions League · Wed 11 Mar 2026
Europe : UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint GermainWWWWW
5 - 2
Full time · HT 2 - 1
ChelseaWLDWL
Kick-offWed 11 Mar, 21:00
Our tip1 @ 1.90 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Paris Saint GermainWWWWW
07 Nov 26HEstac Troyes1 - 0Ligue 1
03 Nov 26AVillarreal6 - 0UEFA Champions League
30 Oct 26ALe Havre5 - 1Ligue 1
26 Oct 26HLyon2 - 0Ligue 1
20 Oct 26HBarcelona4 - 2UEFA Champions League
ChelseaWLDWL
08 Nov 26ASunderland0 - 1Premier League
31 Oct 26HManchester United2 - 0Premier League
28 Oct 26ALiverpool1 - 1League Cup
24 Oct 26HTottenham0 - 2Premier League
17 Oct 26AEverton2 - 0Premier League

Head to head

Full head to head: Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea →

Our prediction

Paris Saint Germain to win

@ 1.90
Double chance
12  •  Paris Saint Germain or Chelsea
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.50
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Paris Saint Germainlast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips on Chelsealast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in UEFA Champions Leaguelast 30 days
36/5467%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 73%Under 2.5: 27%
Expected goals
1.55Paris Saint Germain
3.78Total
2.23Chelsea

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 6.50
2 – 1 Paris Saint Germain win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 0 Paris Saint Germain win 7% @ 8.50
2 – 0 Paris Saint Germain win 6% @ 9.50
0 – 0 Draw 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 5 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Paris Saint Germain71%
Draw8%
Chelsea21%

Odds (1X2)

11.90
X3.75
23.60

Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea preview and result

Paris Saint Germain and Chelsea met in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 21:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 5 - 2, 2 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Paris Saint Germain a 71% chance of winning, the draw 8% and Chelsea 21%. Our pick was Paris Saint Germain to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.90. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Paris Saint Germain or Chelsea) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 3.8 goals (1.6 for Paris Saint Germain, 2.2 for Chelsea). The chance of three or more goals is 73%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence). 7 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Paris Saint Germain have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-W-W-W), scoring 18 and conceding 3. Chelsea have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-L-D-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 4.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea?

Our pre-match prediction is Paris Saint Germain to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.90. Win chances: Paris Saint Germain 71%, draw 8%, Chelsea 21%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 73%).

What time is Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea?

Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea (UEFA Champions League) was played on Wednesday 11 March 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea?

The double chance 12 (Paris Saint Germain or Chelsea) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

UEFA Champions League table

Paris Saint Germain1st12 pts
Chelsea–
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 4400 1512
2 Real Madrid 4400 612
3 Arsenal 4310 510
4 Como 4301 139
5 Barcelona 4301 89
6 Aston Villa 4301 69
7 Manchester City 4301 59
8 Liverpool 4301 49
9 Club Brugge KV 4301 49
10 Sporting CP 4301 49
11 Real Betis 4301 29
12 Borussia Dortmund 4301 29
13 Bayern München 4220 78
14 VfB Stuttgart 4211 37
15 Inter 4202 26
16 Lask Linz 4202 16
17 Manchester United 4202 06
18 Galatasaray 4202 -16
19 Fenerbahçe 4121 -55
20 AS Roma 4112 24
21 Shakhtar Donetsk 4112 04
22 Viking 4112 -14
23 Atletico Madrid 4112 -14
24 PSV Eindhoven 4112 -14
25 Bodo/Glimt 4112 -54
26 FC Porto 4103 -13
27 Napoli 4103 -53
28 Villarreal 4103 -63
29 AEK Athens FC 4103 -63
30 RB Leipzig 4103 -63
31 Sabah FA 4103 -63
32 Feyenoord 4103 -73
33 Lens 4103 -123
34 Slavia Praha 4013 -41
35 Lille 4013 -61
36 Slovan Bratislava 4004 -160