PAU vs Bastia Prediction

Ligue 2 · Fri 6 Mar 2026
France flag France : Ligue 2
PAU
2 - 2
Full time · HT 2 - 1
BastiaLDDWL
Kick-offFri 6 Mar, 20:00
Our tip1 @ 2.10 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
PAU

No matches found.

BastiaLDDWL
07 Nov 26ARouen0 - 2National 1
31 Oct 26HQuevilly2 - 0National 1
17 Oct 26AConcarneau1 - 1National 1
01 Oct 26HOrleans1 - 1National 1
26 Sep 26AGobelins0 - 1National 1

Head to head

Full head to head: PAU vs Bastia →

Our prediction

PAU to win

@ 2.10
Double chance
12  •  PAU or Bastia
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.77
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Bastialast 20 tipped matches
5/2025%
Our tips in Ligue 2last 30 days
18/3749%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 43%Under 2.5: 57%
Expected goals
2.14PAU
2.41Total
0.27Bastia

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 PAU win 12% @ 5.50 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
2 – 0 PAU win 8% @ 7.50
2 – 1 PAU win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 1 Bastia win 8% @ 7.50

Final score: 2 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

PAU49%
Draw18%
Bastia33%

Odds (1X2)

12.10
X3.30
23.50

PAU vs Bastia preview and result

PAU and Bastia met in the Ligue 2 on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 2, 2 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives PAU a 49% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bastia 33%. Our pick was PAU to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.10. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (PAU or Bastia) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (2.1 for PAU, 0.3 for Bastia). The chance of three or more goals is 43%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Bastia have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-D-W-L), scoring 4 and conceding 5.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for PAU vs Bastia?

Our pre-match prediction is PAU to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.10. Win chances: PAU 49%, draw 18%, Bastia 33%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in PAU vs Bastia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 43%).

What time is PAU vs Bastia?

PAU vs Bastia (Ligue 2) was played on Friday 6 March 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for PAU vs Bastia?

The double chance 12 (PAU or Bastia) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Ligue 2 table

PAU5th20 pts
Bastia–
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Saint Etienne 12912 1428
2 Nancy 12813 825
3 Montpellier 12732 924
4 Reims 12561 921
5 PAU 12624 320
6 Dijon 12534 218
7 Metz 12453 117
8 RED Star FC 93 12525 -317
9 Annecy 12516 -416
10 Dunkerque 12435 015
11 Guingamp 12426 -214
12 Boulogne 12273 213
13 Rodez 12417 -613
14 Nantes 12336 -412
15 Clermont Foot 12183 -411
16 Sochaux 12255 -711
17 Grenoble 12327 -911
18 Laval 12237 -99