Pavia vs Varesina Prediction

Serie D Girone D · Sun 11 Oct 2026
Italy flag Italy : Serie D Girone D
PaviaLDLWW
2 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
VaresinaDDDDW
Kick-offSun 11 Oct, 14:00
Our tip1 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
PaviaLDLWW
01 Nov 26HPro Patria1 - 0Serie D Girone D
25 Oct 26HUSD Casatese3 - 1Serie D Girone D
18 Oct 26APistoiese0 - 1Serie D Girone D
11 Oct 26HVaresina2 - 2Serie D Girone D
07 Oct 26HSant'Angelo1 - 3Coppa Italia Serie D
VaresinaDDDDW
01 Nov 26HCittà di Varese3 - 1Serie D Girone D
25 Oct 26ACastellanzese1 - 1Serie D Girone D
18 Oct 26HPro Sesto0 - 0Serie D Girone D
11 Oct 26APavia2 - 2Serie D Girone D
04 Oct 26HPro Patria0 - 0Serie D Girone D

Head to head

Pavia 0 · Draws 2 · Varesina 0 (2 meetings)

11 Oct 26Pavia2 - 2VaresinaSerie D Girone D
01 Mar 26Pavia1 - 1VaresinaSerie D Girone B

Full head to head: Pavia vs Varesina →

Our prediction

Pavia to win

Double chance
12  •  Pavia or Varesina
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
60%

Our record

Our tips on Pavialast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips on Varesinalast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips in Serie D Girone Dlast 30 days
15/3741%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 32%Under 2.5: 68%
Expected goals
0.66Pavia
2.00Total
1.34Varesina

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 Varesina win 18%
0 – 0 Draw 14%
0 – 2 Varesina win 12%
1 – 1 Draw 12%
1 – 0 Pavia win 9% Our pick

Final score: 2 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Pavia50%
Draw11%
Varesina39%

Pavia vs Varesina preview and result

Pavia and Varesina met in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Pavia a 50% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Varesina 39%. Our pick was Pavia to win with 60% confidence. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Pavia or Varesina) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (0.7 for Pavia, 1.3 for Varesina). The chance of three or more goals is 32%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Pavia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-W-W), scoring 7 and conceding 7. Varesina have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-W), scoring 6 and conceding 4. In their last 2 meetings, Pavia won 0, Varesina won 0 and 2 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Pavia vs Varesina?

Our pre-match prediction is Pavia to win (60% confidence). Win chances: Pavia 50%, draw 11%, Varesina 39%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Pavia vs Varesina?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 32%).

What time is Pavia vs Varesina?

Pavia vs Varesina (Serie D Girone D) was played on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Pavia vs Varesina?

The double chance 12 (Pavia or Varesina) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.