Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa Prediction

Segunda Liga · Mon 16 Feb 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Segunda Liga
Penafiel
2 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Kick-offMon 16 Feb, 19:00
Our tip2 @ 2.64 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa →

Our prediction

Lusitânia Lourosa to win

@ 2.64
Double chance
12  •  Penafiel or Lusitânia Lourosa
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.83
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Segunda Ligalast 30 days
9/2733%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 45%Under 2.5: 55%
Expected goals
0.67Penafiel
2.48Total
1.81Lusitânia Lourosa

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
1 – 0 Penafiel win 10% @ 6.50
0 – 1 Lusitânia Lourosa win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Penafiel win 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 2 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Penafiel37%
Draw19%
Lusitânia Lourosa44%

Odds (1X2)

12.64
X3.00
22.64

Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa preview and result

Penafiel and Lusitânia Lourosa met in the Segunda Liga on Monday 16 February 2026 at 19:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Penafiel a 37% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lusitânia Lourosa 44%. Our pick was Lusitânia Lourosa to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.64. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Penafiel or Lusitânia Lourosa) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (0.7 for Penafiel, 1.8 for Lusitânia Lourosa). The chance of three or more goals is 45%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Our pre-match prediction is Lusitânia Lourosa to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.64. Win chances: Penafiel 37%, draw 19%, Lusitânia Lourosa 44%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 45%).

What time is Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga) was played on Monday 16 February 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Penafiel vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

The double chance 12 (Penafiel or Lusitânia Lourosa) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.