Penarol vs Danubio Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sun 8 Mar 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
PenarolDLDLD
1 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
DanubioWWLWL
Kick-offSun 8 Mar, 00:30
Our tip1 @ 1.56 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
PenarolDLDLD
31 Oct 26HWanderers1 - 1Primera División Apertura
27 Oct 26HAtletico Torque0 - 2Copa Uruguay
23 Oct 26AJuventud0 - 0Primera División Apertura
18 Oct 26ALiverpool Montevideo0 - 1Primera División Apertura
10 Oct 26HProgreso1 - 1Primera División Apertura
DanubioWWLWL
01 Nov 26HClub Nacional1 - 2Primera División Apertura
29 Oct 26AWanderers Durazno3 - 0Copa Uruguay
24 Oct 26ADeportivo Maldonado1 - 2Primera División Apertura
18 Oct 26HCentral Espanol1 - 0Primera División Apertura
15 Oct 26ACentral Espanol6 - 0Copa Uruguay

Head to head

Full head to head: Penarol vs Danubio →

Our prediction

Penarol to win

@ 1.56
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.60
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Penarollast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on Danubiolast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
14/3244%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 52%Under 2.5: 48%
Expected goals
1.60Penarol
2.75Total
1.15Danubio

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Penarol win 14% @ 4.50
2 – 0 Penarol win 12% @ 5.50
1 – 1 Draw 10% @ 6.25 ✓ Final score
2 – 1 Penarol win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
3 – 0 Penarol win 7% @ 9.50 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Penarol67%
Draw20%
Danubio13%

Odds (1X2)

11.56
X3.60
25.90

Penarol vs Danubio preview and result

Penarol and Danubio met in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 00:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Penarol a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Danubio 13%. Our pick was Penarol to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.56. The pick lost this time ✗.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.6 for Penarol, 1.2 for Danubio). The chance of three or more goals is 52%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Penarol have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-D-L-D), scoring 2 and conceding 5. Danubio have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-L), scoring 12 and conceding 4.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Penarol vs Danubio?

Our pre-match prediction is Penarol to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.56. Win chances: Penarol 67%, draw 20%, Danubio 13%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Penarol vs Danubio?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 52%).

What time is Penarol vs Danubio?

Penarol vs Danubio (Primera División Apertura) was played on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 00:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.