Penarol vs Progreso Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sat 10 Oct 2026

Uruguay : Primera División Apertura

Penarol

1 - 1

Full time · HT 0 - 1

Progreso

Kick-offSat 10 Oct, 22:30

Our tip1 @ 1.40 ✗

GoalsUnder 2.5

Confidence85%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗

BTTSNo ✗

Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Penarol vs Progreso →

Our prediction

Penarol to win

@ 1.40

Both teams to score

No – at least one team fails to score

@ 1.67

Confidence

85%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days

13/2748%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Confidence

75%

Over 2.5: 44%Under 2.5: 56%

Expected goals

1.29Penarol

2.44Total

1.15Progreso

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Penarol win 12% @ 5.80 Our pick

2 – 0 Penarol win 11% @ 6.00

2 – 1 Penarol win 9% @ 7.50

3 – 0 Penarol win 7% @ 9.00

1 – 1 Draw 7% @ 9.00 ✓ Final score

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Penarol75%

Draw20%

Progreso5%

Odds (1X2)

11.40

X4.40

27.00

Penarol vs Progreso preview and result

Penarol and Progreso met in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 22:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Penarol a 75% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Progreso 5%. Our pick was Penarol to win with 85% confidence at odds of 1.40. The pick lost this time ✗.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.3 for Penarol, 1.2 for Progreso). The chance of three or more goals is 44%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Penarol vs Progreso?

Our pre-match prediction is Penarol to win (85% confidence) at odds of 1.40. Win chances: Penarol 75%, draw 20%, Progreso 5%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Penarol vs Progreso?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 44%).

What time is Penarol vs Progreso?

Penarol vs Progreso (Primera División Apertura) was played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

More Primera División Apertura predictions

Fri 21:00