Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar Prediction

Liga 1 · Wed 25 Feb 2026
Indonesia flag Indonesia : Liga 1
Persebaya SurabayaDLWDL
1 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
PSM MakassarWWDLD
Kick-offWed 25 Feb, 14:30
Our tip1 @ 1.95 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Persebaya SurabayaDLWDL
07 Nov 26APersija0 - 1Liga 1
30 Oct 26HPersijap1 - 1Liga 1
26 Oct 26HPersepam Madura Utd3 - 1Liga 1
22 Oct 26APSM Makassar0 - 1Liga 1
18 Oct 26HPSS Sleman2 - 2Liga 1
PSM MakassarWWDLD
07 Nov 26APusamania Borneo1 - 1Liga 1
31 Oct 26HPersepam Madura Utd0 - 1Liga 1
26 Oct 26ABhayangkara FC0 - 0Liga 1
22 Oct 26HPersebaya Surabaya1 - 0Liga 1
16 Oct 26APSIM Yogyakarta2 - 1Liga 1

Head to head

Persebaya Surabaya 6 · Draws 3 · PSM Makassar 6 (15 meetings, last 10 below)

22 Oct 26PSM Makassar1 - 0Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
25 Feb 26Persebaya Surabaya1 - 0PSM MakassarLiga 1
06 Dec 25PSM Makassar1 - 1Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
07 Mar 25PSM Makassar0 - 1Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
23 Oct 24Persebaya Surabaya1 - 1PSM MakassarLiga 1
28 Feb 24PSM Makassar0 - 0Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
18 Aug 23Persebaya Surabaya1 - 0PSM MakassarLiga 1
24 Feb 23Persebaya Surabaya0 - 1PSM MakassarLiga 1
10 Sep 22PSM Makassar3 - 0Persebaya SurabayaLiga 1
14 Jan 22Persebaya Surabaya2 - 1PSM MakassarLiga 1

Full head to head: Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar →

Our prediction

Persebaya Surabaya to win

@ 1.95
Double chance
1X  •  Persebaya Surabaya or Draw
@ 1.20
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.83
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Persebaya Surabayalast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips on PSM Makassarlast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Liga 1last 30 days
19/4344%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 43%Under 2.5: 57%
Expected goals
1.81Persebaya Surabaya
2.41Total
0.60PSM Makassar

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Persebaya Surabaya win 11% @ 5.75 Our pick ✓ Final score
2 – 1 Persebaya Surabaya win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 7.50
2 – 0 Persebaya Surabaya win 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 1 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Persebaya Surabaya73%
Draw18%
PSM Makassar9%

Odds (1X2)

11.95
X3.10
23.65

Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar preview and result

Persebaya Surabaya and PSM Makassar met in the Liga 1 on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 14:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Persebaya Surabaya a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and PSM Makassar 9%. Our pick was Persebaya Surabaya to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.95. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Persebaya Surabaya or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.20.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.8 for Persebaya Surabaya, 0.6 for PSM Makassar). The chance of three or more goals is 43%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Persebaya Surabaya have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-D-L), scoring 6 and conceding 6. PSM Makassar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-D), scoring 4 and conceding 3. In their last 10 meetings, Persebaya Surabaya won 6, PSM Makassar won 6 and 3 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar?

Our pre-match prediction is Persebaya Surabaya to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.95. Win chances: Persebaya Surabaya 73%, draw 18%, PSM Makassar 9%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 43%).

What time is Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar?

Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) was played on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 14:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM Makassar?

The double chance 1X (Persebaya Surabaya or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.20. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.