Poland vs Sweden Prediction

UEFA Nations League · Tue 17 Nov 2026
Europe : UEFA Nations League
Poland
20:45
Tue 17 Nov, 20:45
Sweden
Kick-offTue 17 Nov, 20:45
Our tip2 @ 2.59
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Poland vs Sweden →

Our prediction

Sweden to win

@ 2.59
Double chance
12  •  Poland or Sweden
@ 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.52
Confidence
55%

Who will win?

Tap your pick – see what other fans think.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 49%Under 2.5: 51%
Expected goals
1.32Poland
2.63Total
1.31Sweden

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 6.91
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.80
2 – 1 Poland win 7% @ 8.90
1 – 2 Sweden win 7% @ 9.50 Our pick
1 – 0 Poland win 6% @ 10.00

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Poland37%
Draw16%
Sweden47%

Odds (1X2)

12.28
X3.74
22.59

Poland vs Sweden preview

Poland host Sweden in the UEFA Nations League (Europe) on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:45 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Poland a 37% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Sweden 47%. That makes our pick Sweden to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.59. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Poland or Sweden) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.3 for Poland, 1.3 for Sweden). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Poland vs Sweden?

Our prediction is Sweden to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.59. Win chances: Poland 37%, draw 16%, Sweden 47%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Poland vs Sweden?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).

What time is Poland vs Sweden?

Poland vs Sweden (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Poland vs Sweden?

The double chance 12 (Poland or Sweden) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.