Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Mon 16 Mar 2026
England flag England : Championship
PortsmouthWDWDW
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
DerbyLLDLL
Kick-offMon 16 Mar, 21:00
Our tip2 @ 3.40 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
PortsmouthWDWDW
03 Nov 26HSwansea3 - 1Championship
31 Oct 26ABurnley0 - 0Championship
24 Oct 26HMillwall2 - 1Championship
20 Oct 26AWolves1 - 1Championship
17 Oct 26ANorwich1 - 0Championship
DerbyLLDLL
03 Nov 26HNorwich0 - 4Championship
31 Oct 26AMillwall1 - 4Championship
24 Oct 26ASheffield Utd1 - 1Championship
17 Oct 26HStoke City0 - 1Championship
14 Oct 26AQPR1 - 4Championship

Head to head

Portsmouth 0 · Draws 0 · Derby 2 (2 meetings)

01 Sep 26Portsmouth0 - 2DerbyChampionship
16 Mar 26Portsmouth0 - 1DerbyChampionship

Full head to head: Portsmouth vs Derby →

Our prediction

Derby to win

@ 3.40
Double chance
12  •  Portsmouth or Derby
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Portsmouthlast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips on Derbylast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Championshiplast 30 days
42/7457%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
1.16Portsmouth
2.53Total
1.37Derby

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.25
1 – 0 Portsmouth win 11% @ 5.75
2 – 1 Portsmouth win 9% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 7.50
0 – 1 Derby win 9% @ 7.50 ✓ Final score
0 – 3 Derby win 2% @ 34.00 Our pick

Final score: 0 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Portsmouth40%
Draw18%
Derby42%

Odds (1X2)

12.18
X3.15
23.40

Portsmouth vs Derby preview and result

Portsmouth and Derby met in the Championship on Monday 16 March 2026 at 21:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Portsmouth a 40% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Derby 42%. Our pick was Derby to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.40. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Portsmouth or Derby) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.2 for Portsmouth, 1.4 for Derby). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Portsmouth have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-D-W), scoring 7 and conceding 3. Derby have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-L-L), scoring 3 and conceding 14. In their last 2 meetings, Portsmouth won 0, Derby won 2 and 0 ended level. In the table, Portsmouth are 10th with 22 points and Derby are 23rd with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Portsmouth vs Derby?

Our pre-match prediction is Derby to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.40. Win chances: Portsmouth 40%, draw 18%, Derby 42%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Portsmouth vs Derby?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Portsmouth vs Derby?

Portsmouth vs Derby (Championship) was played on Monday 16 March 2026 at 21:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Portsmouth vs Derby?

The double chance 12 (Portsmouth or Derby) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Championship table

Portsmouth10th22 pts
Derby23rd10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Middlesbrough 14842 1128
2 Wolves 14833 827
3 Birmingham 14752 1326
4 Stoke City 14824 526
5 Swansea 14824 526
6 West Brom 14743 525
7 Southampton 14842 1524
8 West Ham 14653 1523
9 Sheffield Utd 14644 322
10 Portsmouth 14644 322
11 QPR 14563 521
12 Norwich 14608 318
13 Millwall 14536 -118
14 Blackburn 14536 -218
15 Bristol City 14536 -318
16 Wrexham 14455 -217
17 Bolton 15528 -917
18 Cardiff 14365 -115
19 Lincoln 14437 -1015
20 Watford 14428 -1014
21 Charlton 14356 -1114
22 Burnley 14176 -810
23 Derby 15249 -1610
24 Preston 141211 -185