Progreso vs Club Nacional Prediction

Copa Uruguay · Wed 16 Sep 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Copa Uruguay
ProgresoLWWWL
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 1
Club NacionalWWLWW
Kick-offWed 16 Sep, 19:00
Our tip2 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ProgresoLWWWL
01 Nov 26HDefensor Sporting0 - 2Primera División Apertura
25 Oct 26AWanderers1 - 0Primera División Apertura
26 Sep 26HRacing Montevideo2 - 1Primera División Apertura
19 Sep 26ABoston River2 - 1Primera División Apertura
16 Sep 26HClub Nacional0 - 1Copa Uruguay
Club NacionalWWLWW
05 Nov 26AFerro Carril2 - 1Copa Uruguay
01 Nov 26ADanubio2 - 1Primera División Apertura
25 Oct 26HLiverpool Montevideo0 - 1Primera División Apertura
19 Oct 26HDeportivo Maldonado3 - 2Primera División Apertura
15 Oct 26HRentistas3 - 0Copa Uruguay

Head to head

Progreso 0 · Draws 0 · Club Nacional 4 (4 meetings)

16 Sep 26Progreso0 - 1Club NacionalCopa Uruguay
23 Aug 26Club Nacional1 - 0ProgresoPrimera División Apertura
02 Aug 26Club Nacional2 - 1ProgresoPrimera División Apertura
21 Feb 26Progreso0 - 1Club NacionalPrimera División Apertura

Full head to head: Progreso vs Club Nacional →

Our prediction

Club Nacional to win

Double chance
12  •  Progreso or Club Nacional
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Progresolast 15 tipped matches
7/1547%
Our tips on Club Nacionallast 18 tipped matches
10/1856%
Our tips in Copa Uruguaylast 30 days
6/1540%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%
Expected goals
0.63Progreso
2.50Total
1.87Club Nacional

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 Club Nacional win 15% ✓ Final score
0 – 2 Club Nacional win 14%
1 – 1 Draw 10%
1 – 2 Club Nacional win 9%
0 – 3 Club Nacional win 9% Our pick

Final score: 0 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Progreso25%
Draw11%
Club Nacional64%

Progreso vs Club Nacional preview and result

Progreso and Club Nacional met in the Copa Uruguay on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Progreso a 25% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Club Nacional 64%. Our pick was Club Nacional to win with 70% confidence. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Progreso or Club Nacional) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (0.6 for Progreso, 1.9 for Club Nacional). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Progreso have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-W-L), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Club Nacional have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-L-W-W), scoring 10 and conceding 5. In their last 4 meetings, Progreso won 0, Club Nacional won 4 and 0 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Progreso vs Club Nacional?

Our pre-match prediction is Club Nacional to win (70% confidence). Win chances: Progreso 25%, draw 11%, Club Nacional 64%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Progreso vs Club Nacional?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Progreso vs Club Nacional?

Progreso vs Club Nacional (Copa Uruguay) was played on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Progreso vs Club Nacional?

The double chance 12 (Progreso or Club Nacional) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.