Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sat 18 Jul 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
ProgresoLDWWL
1 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Kick-offSat 18 Jul, 16:30
Our tip2 @ 1.82 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ProgresoLDWWL
01 Nov 26HDefensor Sporting0 - 2Primera División Apertura
25 Oct 26AWanderers1 - 0Primera División Apertura
17 Oct 26HJuventud2 - 0Primera División Apertura
10 Oct 26APenarol1 - 1Primera División Apertura
03 Oct 26ALiverpool Montevideo2 - 3Primera División Apertura
Deportivo Maldonado

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado →

Our prediction

Deportivo Maldonado to win

@ 1.82
Double chance
12  •  Progreso or Deportivo Maldonado
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.77
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Progresolast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
13/2846%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 49%Under 2.5: 51%
Expected goals
0.66Progreso
2.63Total
1.97Deportivo Maldonado

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 Deportivo Maldonado win 11% @ 5.50
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
0 – 2 Deportivo Maldonado win 9% @ 7.00
1 – 2 Deportivo Maldonado win 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
0 – 3 Deportivo Maldonado win 5% @ 12.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 0 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Progreso17%
Draw16%
Deportivo Maldonado67%

Odds (1X2)

14.10
X3.40
21.82

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado preview and result

Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado met in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 16:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Progreso a 17% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Deportivo Maldonado 67%. Our pick was Deportivo Maldonado to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.82. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Progreso or Deportivo Maldonado) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (0.7 for Progreso, 2.0 for Deportivo Maldonado). The chance of three or more goals is 49%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Progreso have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-W-W-L), scoring 6 and conceding 6.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Our pre-match prediction is Deportivo Maldonado to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.82. Win chances: Progreso 17%, draw 16%, Deportivo Maldonado 67%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 49%).

What time is Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado (Primera División Apertura) was played on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado?

The double chance 12 (Progreso or Deportivo Maldonado) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.