Progreso vs Penarol Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sat 4 Apr 2026

Uruguay : Primera División Apertura

Progreso

23:00

⏳ Result pending · Sat 4 Apr

Penarol

Kick-offSat 4 Apr, 23:00

Our tip2 @ 1.37

GoalsOver 2.5

Confidence70%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Progreso vs Penarol →

Our prediction

Penarol to win

@ 1.37

Both teams to score

No – at least one team fails to score

@ 1.57

Confidence

70%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days

13/2748%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Confidence

75%

Over 2.5: 48%Under 2.5: 52%

Expected goals

1.23Progreso

2.61Total

1.38Penarol

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 Penarol win 13% @ 4.75

0 – 2 Penarol win 13% @ 5.00

1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00

1 – 2 Penarol win 9% @ 7.00

0 – 3 Penarol win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Progreso14%

Draw24%

Penarol62%

Odds (1X2)

18.30

X4.10

21.37

Progreso vs Penarol preview

Progreso host Penarol in the Primera División Apertura (Uruguay) on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 23:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Progreso a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Penarol 62%. That makes our pick Penarol to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.37.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.2 for Progreso, 1.4 for Penarol). The chance of three or more goals is 48%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence).

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Progreso vs Penarol?

Our prediction is Penarol to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.37. Win chances: Progreso 14%, draw 24%, Penarol 62%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Progreso vs Penarol?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 48%).

What time is Progreso vs Penarol?

Progreso vs Penarol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 23:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

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