Puebla vs Toluca Prediction

Liga MX · Wed 16 Sep 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
Puebla
0 - 1
Full time · HT 0 - 0
TolucaDDDDW
Kick-offWed 16 Sep, 02:00
Our tip2 @ 1.50 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✓
Double chanceX2 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Puebla

No matches found.

TolucaDDDDW
08 Nov 26HMonterrey4 - 0Liga MX
01 Nov 26AClub America2 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26ALeon1 - 1Liga MX
22 Oct 26HClub Tijuana2 - 2Liga MX
18 Oct 26HAtletico San Luis1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Puebla 7 · Draws 6 · Toluca 9 (22 meetings, last 10 below)

16 Sep 26Puebla0 - 1TolucaLiga MX
31 Jan 26Puebla0 - 0TolucaLiga MX
14 Sep 25Toluca3 - 1PueblaLiga MX
15 Mar 25Puebla0 - 3TolucaLiga MX
23 Oct 24Toluca5 - 0PueblaLiga MX
27 Jan 24Puebla1 - 1TolucaLiga MX
01 Nov 23Toluca0 - 1PueblaLiga MX
24 Jun 23Toluca1 - 1PueblaFriendlies Clubs
08 Apr 23Puebla1 - 2TolucaLiga MX
03 Aug 22Toluca1 - 1PueblaLiga MX

Full head to head: Puebla vs Toluca →

Our prediction

Toluca to win

@ 1.50
Double chance
X2  •  Draw or Toluca
@ 1.15
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.65
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Tolucalast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4652%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
1.08Puebla
3.00Total
1.92Toluca

Possible correct scores

1 – 2 Toluca win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 8% @ 7.50
0 – 1 Toluca win 8% @ 7.50 ✓ Final score
0 – 2 Toluca win 8% @ 8.00
0 – 3 Toluca win 6% @ 11.00

Final score: 0 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Puebla11%
Draw15%
Toluca74%

Odds (1X2)

14.80
X3.90
21.50

Puebla vs Toluca preview and result

Puebla and Toluca met in the Liga MX on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 0 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Puebla a 11% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Toluca 74%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.50. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance X2 (Draw or Toluca) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.15.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (1.1 for Puebla, 1.9 for Toluca). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 1 goal was scored.

Form and head to head

Toluca have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6. In their last 10 meetings, Puebla won 7, Toluca won 9 and 6 ended level. In the table, Puebla are 13th with 19 points and Toluca are 4th with 27 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Puebla vs Toluca?

Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.50. Win chances: Puebla 11%, draw 15%, Toluca 74%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Puebla vs Toluca?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Puebla vs Toluca?

Puebla vs Toluca (Liga MX) was played on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Puebla vs Toluca?

The double chance X2 (Draw or Toluca) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.15. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Puebla13th19 pts
Toluca4th27 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111