Racing Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Sun 12 Jul 2026
Uruguay flag Uruguay : Primera División Apertura
1 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Penarol
Kick-offSun 12 Jul, 22:30
Our tip2 @ 2.36 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Racing Montevideo vs Penarol →

Our prediction

Penarol to win

@ 2.36
Double chance
12  •  Racing Montevideo or Penarol
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.62
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days
14/3244%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 39%Under 2.5: 61%
Expected goals
0.45Racing Montevideo
2.26Total
1.81Penarol

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 13% @ 5.00 ✓ Final score
0 – 1 Penarol win 13% @ 5.00 Our pick
1 – 0 Racing Montevideo win 11% @ 6.00
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 6.25
0 – 2 Penarol win 8% @ 8.50

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Racing Montevideo34%
Draw19%
Penarol47%

Odds (1X2)

13.00
X2.98
22.36

Racing Montevideo vs Penarol preview and result

Racing Montevideo and Penarol met in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 22:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Racing Montevideo a 34% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Penarol 47%. Our pick was Penarol to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.36. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Racing Montevideo or Penarol) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.3 goals (0.5 for Racing Montevideo, 1.8 for Penarol). The chance of three or more goals is 39%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?

Our pre-match prediction is Penarol to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.36. Win chances: Racing Montevideo 34%, draw 19%, Penarol 47%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 39%).

What time is Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?

Racing Montevideo vs Penarol (Primera División Apertura) was played on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Racing Montevideo vs Penarol?

The double chance 12 (Racing Montevideo or Penarol) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.