Racing Montevideo vs Progreso Prediction

Primera División Apertura · Thu 26 Mar 2026

Uruguay : Primera División Apertura

Racing MontevideoLLWDW

1 - 1

Full time · HT 1 - 0

Progreso

Kick-offThu 26 Mar, 17:00

Our tip1 @ 1.82 ✗

GoalsOver 2.5

Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗

Double chance1X ✓

BTTSNo ✗

Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Racing MontevideoLLWDW

31 Oct 26HCerro Largo3 - 1Primera División Apertura

23 Oct 26ADefensor Sporting3 - 3Primera División Apertura

17 Oct 26HWanderers3 - 0Primera División Apertura

11 Oct 26AJuventud0 - 2Primera División Apertura

04 Oct 26HPenarol0 - 1Primera División Apertura

Progreso

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: Racing Montevideo vs Progreso →

Our prediction

Racing Montevideo to win

@ 1.82

Double chance

1X • Racing Montevideo or Draw

@ 1.15

Both teams to score

No – at least one team fails to score

@ 1.70

Confidence

80%

Our record

Our tips on Racing Montevideolast 20 tipped matches

8/2040%

Our tips in Primera División Aperturalast 30 days

10/2442%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Confidence

75%

Over 2.5: 46%Under 2.5: 54%

Expected goals

1.68Racing Montevideo

2.50Total

0.82Progreso

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Racing Montevideo win 12% @ 5.25

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75 ✓ Final score

2 – 0 Racing Montevideo win 10% @ 6.50

2 – 1 Racing Montevideo win 9% @ 7.00

0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 7.50

3 – 0 Racing Montevideo win 5% @ 13.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Racing Montevideo70%

Draw22%

Progreso8%

Odds (1X2)

11.82

X3.30

24.20

Racing Montevideo vs Progreso preview and result

Racing Montevideo and Progreso met in the Primera División Apertura on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 17:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Racing Montevideo a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Progreso 8%. Our pick was Racing Montevideo to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.82. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Racing Montevideo or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.15.

Goals: we expect about 2.5 goals (1.7 for Racing Montevideo, 0.8 for Progreso). The chance of three or more goals is 46%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Racing Montevideo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-D-W), scoring 9 and conceding 7.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Racing Montevideo vs Progreso?

Our pre-match prediction is Racing Montevideo to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.82. Win chances: Racing Montevideo 70%, draw 22%, Progreso 8%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Racing Montevideo vs Progreso?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 46%).

What time is Racing Montevideo vs Progreso?

Racing Montevideo vs Progreso (Primera División Apertura) was played on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 17:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Racing Montevideo vs Progreso?

The double chance 1X (Racing Montevideo or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.15. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

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