Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo Prediction

Primera B Metropolitana · Thu 5 Mar 2026
Argentina flag Argentina : Primera B Metropolitana
Real PilarLDWDW
1 - 3
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Deportivo MerloDDWLD
Kick-offThu 5 Mar, 00:30
Our tip1 @ 1.70 ✗
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance1X ✗
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Real PilarLDWDW
14 Nov 26HTalleres Remedios2 - 1Primera B Metropolitana
31 Oct 26AVilla San Carlos1 - 1Primera B Metropolitana
24 Oct 26HLiniers2 - 1Primera B Metropolitana
17 Oct 26HItuzaingó0 - 0Primera B Metropolitana
12 Oct 26AUAI Urquiza0 - 1Primera B Metropolitana
Deportivo MerloDDWLD
31 Oct 26HArsenal Sarandi1 - 1Primera B Metropolitana
24 Oct 26AArgentino de Merlo0 - 1Primera B Metropolitana
17 Oct 26HTalleres Remedios2 - 1Primera B Metropolitana
10 Oct 26ADeportivo Laferrere1 - 1Primera B Metropolitana
05 Oct 26HBrown DE Adrogue0 - 0Primera B Metropolitana

Head to head

Full head to head: Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo →

Our prediction

Real Pilar to win

@ 1.70
Double chance
1X  •  Real Pilar or Draw
@ 1.11
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.53
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Real Pilarlast 20 tipped matches
6/2030%
Our tips on Deportivo Merlolast 20 tipped matches
5/2025%
Our tips in Primera B Metropolitanalast 30 days
14/3738%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 28%Under 2.5: 72%
Expected goals
1.23Real Pilar
1.83Total
0.60Deportivo Merlo

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Real Pilar win 15% @ 5.00 Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 11% @ 6.50
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.50
2 – 0 Real Pilar win 11% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Real Pilar win 8% @ 9.50

Final score: 1 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Real Pilar73%
Draw19%
Deportivo Merlo8%

Odds (1X2)

11.70
X3.00
25.00

Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo preview and result

Real Pilar and Deportivo Merlo met in the Primera B Metropolitana on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 00:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 3, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Real Pilar a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Deportivo Merlo 8%. Our pick was Real Pilar to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.70. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Real Pilar or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.11.

Goals: we expect about 1.8 goals (1.2 for Real Pilar, 0.6 for Deportivo Merlo). The chance of three or more goals is 28%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (85% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Real Pilar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-D-W-D-W), scoring 5 and conceding 4. Deportivo Merlo have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-W-L-D), scoring 4 and conceding 4.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo?

Our pre-match prediction is Real Pilar to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.70. Win chances: Real Pilar 73%, draw 19%, Deportivo Merlo 8%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 28%).

What time is Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo?

Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) was played on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 00:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Real Pilar vs Deportivo Merlo?

The double chance 1X (Real Pilar or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.11. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.