Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights Prediction

USL Championship · Thu 1 Oct 2026
USA flag USA : USL Championship
Sacramento RepublicDWWWW
3 - 2
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Las Vegas LightsLWLLL
Kick-offThu 1 Oct, 03:00
Our tip1 @ 1.50 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Sacramento RepublicDWWWW
08 Nov 26HEl Paso Locomotive2 - 1USL Championship
02 Nov 26HFC Tulsa1 - 0USL Championship
25 Oct 26HOakland Roots3 - 2USL Championship
18 Oct 26AEl Paso Locomotive1 - 0USL Championship
11 Oct 26HColorado Springs1 - 1USL Championship
Las Vegas LightsLWLLL
25 Oct 26AMonterey Bay1 - 2USL Championship
18 Oct 26HLexington3 - 5USL Championship
11 Oct 26APhoenix Rising2 - 3USL Championship
04 Oct 26HSan Antonio1 - 0USL Championship
01 Oct 26ASacramento Republic2 - 3USL Championship

Head to head

Full head to head: Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights →

Our prediction

Sacramento Republic to win

@ 1.50
Double chance
1X  •  Sacramento Republic or Draw
@ 1.15
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.83
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips on Sacramento Republiclast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Las Vegas Lightslast 20 tipped matches
8/2040%
Our tips in USL Championshiplast 30 days
22/3956%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 44%Under 2.5: 56%
Expected goals
1.46Sacramento Republic
2.44Total
0.98Las Vegas Lights

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Sacramento Republic win 11% @ 6.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Sacramento Republic win 9% @ 7.00
2 – 1 Sacramento Republic win 9% @ 7.00
1 – 1 Draw 9% @ 7.00
0 – 0 Draw 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 3 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Sacramento Republic61%
Draw20%
Las Vegas Lights19%

Odds (1X2)

11.50
X3.90
25.00

Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights preview and result

Sacramento Republic and Las Vegas Lights met in the USL Championship on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 03:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Sacramento Republic a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Las Vegas Lights 19%. Our pick was Sacramento Republic to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.50. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Sacramento Republic or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.15.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.5 for Sacramento Republic, 1.0 for Las Vegas Lights). The chance of three or more goals is 44%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 5 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Sacramento Republic have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-W-W-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. Las Vegas Lights have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-L-L), scoring 9 and conceding 13.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights?

Our pre-match prediction is Sacramento Republic to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.50. Win chances: Sacramento Republic 61%, draw 20%, Las Vegas Lights 19%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 44%).

What time is Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights?

Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) was played on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 03:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Sacramento Republic vs Las Vegas Lights?

The double chance 1X (Sacramento Republic or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.15. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.