San Lorenzo vs Independiente Prediction

San Lorenzo vs Independiente preview

San Lorenzo host Independiente in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 22:45 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives San Lorenzo a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Independiente 40%. That makes our pick Independiente to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.60. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (San Lorenzo or Independiente) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.42.

Goals: we expect about 2.2 goals (0.7 for San Lorenzo, 1.5 for Independiente). The chance of three or more goals is 38%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

San Lorenzo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-D-L), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Independiente have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-L-D-W), scoring 4 and conceding 4. In their last 10 meetings, San Lorenzo won 3, Independiente won 3 and 7 ended level. In the table, San Lorenzo are 7th with 22 points and Independiente are 5th with 24 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win San Lorenzo vs Independiente?

Our prediction is Independiente to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.60. Win chances: San Lorenzo 39%, draw 21%, Independiente 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in San Lorenzo vs Independiente?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 38%).

What time is San Lorenzo vs Independiente?

San Lorenzo vs Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 22:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for San Lorenzo vs Independiente?

The double chance 12 (San Lorenzo or Independiente) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.42. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.