Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin Prediction

Primera A · Mon 23 Mar 2026
Colombia flag Colombia : Primera A
Santa FeLWWLL
2 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Kick-offMon 23 Mar, 22:10
Our tip1 @ 2.20 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Santa FeLWWLL
02 Nov 26HOnce Caldas0 - 2Copa Colombia
30 Oct 26AAtletico Nacional0 - 2Primera A
27 Oct 26HBucaramanga2 - 1Primera A
22 Oct 26HJaguares2 - 1Primera A
18 Oct 26ALlaneros0 - 1Primera A
Independiente MedellinLLLWW
07 Nov 26AFortaleza FC3 - 0Primera A
01 Nov 26HAlianza Valledupar2 - 1Primera A
29 Oct 26AInternacional de Bogota1 - 3Primera A
25 Oct 26AAtletico Nacional1 - 2Primera A
18 Oct 26HOnce Caldas0 - 2Primera A

Head to head

Santa Fe 12 · Draws 9 · Independiente Medellin 6 (27 meetings, last 10 below)

06 Oct 26Independiente Medellin0 - 1Santa FePrimera A
23 Mar 26Santa Fe2 - 1Independiente MedellinPrimera A
21 Oct 25Independiente Medellin1 - 1Santa FePrimera A
02 Oct 25Santa Fe0 - 3Independiente MedellinCopa Colombia
24 Sep 25Independiente Medellin1 - 2Santa FeCopa Colombia
29 Jun 25Independiente Medellin1 - 2Santa FePrimera A
25 Jun 25Santa Fe0 - 0Independiente MedellinPrimera A
15 Apr 25Santa Fe1 - 2Independiente MedellinPrimera A
19 Oct 24Santa Fe1 - 1Independiente MedellinPrimera A
11 Feb 24Independiente Medellin1 - 1Santa FePrimera A

Full head to head: Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin →

Our prediction

Santa Fe to win

@ 2.20
Double chance
12  •  Santa Fe or Independiente Medellin
@ 1.28
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Santa Felast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Independiente Medellinlast 20 tipped matches
11/2055%
Our tips in Primera Alast 30 days
28/5353%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 47%Under 2.5: 53%
Expected goals
1.10Santa Fe
2.55Total
1.45Independiente Medellin

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Santa Fe win 10% @ 6.25
2 – 1 Santa Fe win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick ✓ Final score
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
0 – 1 Independiente Medellin win 8% @ 8.00

Final score: 2 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Santa Fe41%
Draw18%
Independiente Medellin41%

Odds (1X2)

12.20
X3.25
23.25

Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin preview and result

Santa Fe and Independiente Medellin met in the Primera A on Monday 23 March 2026 at 22:10 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Santa Fe a 41% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Independiente Medellin 41%. Our pick was Santa Fe to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.20. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Santa Fe or Independiente Medellin) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.28.

Goals: we expect about 2.6 goals (1.1 for Santa Fe, 1.5 for Independiente Medellin). The chance of three or more goals is 47%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Santa Fe have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-L-L), scoring 4 and conceding 7. Independiente Medellin have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-W-W), scoring 7 and conceding 8. In their last 10 meetings, Santa Fe won 12, Independiente Medellin won 6 and 9 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?

Our pre-match prediction is Santa Fe to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.20. Win chances: Santa Fe 41%, draw 18%, Independiente Medellin 41%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 47%).

What time is Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?

Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin (Primera A) was played on Monday 23 March 2026 at 22:10 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Santa Fe vs Independiente Medellin?

The double chance 12 (Santa Fe or Independiente Medellin) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.28. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.