São Caetano vs Comercial Prediction

Paulista A4 · Wed 4 Mar 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Paulista A4
São CaetanoLLDLL
2 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Comercial
Kick-offWed 4 Mar, 19:00
Our tip1 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence65%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
São CaetanoLLDLL
05 Sep 26APrimavera SP0 - 7Copa Paulista
29 Aug 26HPrimavera SP0 - 5Copa Paulista
22 Aug 26ASão José EC0 - 0Copa Paulista
17 Aug 26HSanto André0 - 1Copa Paulista
09 Aug 26AEC São Bernardo0 - 2Copa Paulista
Comercial

No matches found.

Head to head

Full head to head: São Caetano vs Comercial →

Our prediction

São Caetano to win

Double chance
12  •  São Caetano or Comercial
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
65%

Our record

Our tips on São Caetanolast 15 tipped matches
10/1567%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 30%Under 2.5: 70%
Expected goals
1.29São Caetano
1.93Total
0.64Comercial

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 São Caetano win 19% Our pick
0 – 0 Draw 15%
2 – 0 São Caetano win 12%
1 – 1 Draw 12%
0 – 1 Comercial win 9%

Final score: 2 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

São Caetano55%
Draw11%
Comercial34%

São Caetano vs Comercial preview and result

São Caetano and Comercial met in the Paulista A4 on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 19:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives São Caetano a 55% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Comercial 34%. Our pick was São Caetano to win with 65% confidence. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (São Caetano or Comercial) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 1.9 goals (1.3 for São Caetano, 0.6 for Comercial). The chance of three or more goals is 30%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (85% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

São Caetano have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-D-L-L), scoring 0 and conceding 15.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for São Caetano vs Comercial?

Our pre-match prediction is São Caetano to win (65% confidence). Win chances: São Caetano 55%, draw 11%, Comercial 34%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in São Caetano vs Comercial?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 30%).

What time is São Caetano vs Comercial?

São Caetano vs Comercial (Paulista A4) was played on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for São Caetano vs Comercial?

The double chance 12 (São Caetano or Comercial) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.