Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG Prediction

Serie A · Sat 5 Sep 2026
Brazil flag Brazil : Serie A
Sao PauloWWDLD
2 - 0
Full time · HT 0 - 0
Atletico-MGLLLLD
Kick-offSat 5 Sep, 22:30
Our tip1 @ 2.10 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✓
Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Sao PauloWWDLD
05 Nov 26HCorinthians0 - 0Serie A
29 Oct 26ABahia2 - 3Serie A
24 Oct 26AMirassol1 - 1Serie A
18 Oct 26HVasco DA Gama1 - 0Serie A
11 Oct 26HVitoria2 - 1Serie A
Atletico-MGLLLLD
07 Nov 26HGremio1 - 1Copa Do Brasil
05 Nov 26ABotafogo0 - 1Serie A
01 Nov 26AGremio0 - 2Copa Do Brasil
29 Oct 26HCruzeiro0 - 1Serie A
26 Oct 26AFlamengo2 - 3Serie A

Head to head

Full head to head: Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG →

Our prediction

Sao Paulo to win

@ 2.10
Double chance
12  •  Sao Paulo or Atletico-MG
@ 1.33
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.85
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Sao Paulolast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Atletico-MGlast 20 tipped matches
14/2070%
Our tips in Serie Alast 30 days
30/4863%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 44%Under 2.5: 56%
Expected goals
0.88Sao Paulo
2.44Total
1.56Atletico-MG

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Sao Paulo win 10% @ 6.50 Our pick
2 – 1 Sao Paulo win 8% @ 8.00
0 – 0 Draw 8% @ 8.00
2 – 0 Sao Paulo win 7% @ 9.50 ✓ Final score

Final score: 2 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Sao Paulo42%
Draw18%
Atletico-MG40%

Odds (1X2)

12.10
X3.10
23.40

Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG preview and result

Sao Paulo and Atletico-MG met in the Serie A on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 22:30 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Sao Paulo a 42% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atletico-MG 40%. Our pick was Sao Paulo to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.10. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Sao Paulo or Atletico-MG) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.33.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (0.9 for Sao Paulo, 1.6 for Atletico-MG). The chance of three or more goals is 44%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5. Atletico-MG have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-L-D), scoring 3 and conceding 8. In the table, Sao Paulo are 10th with 44 points and Atletico-MG are 7th with 50 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?

Our pre-match prediction is Sao Paulo to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.10. Win chances: Sao Paulo 42%, draw 18%, Atletico-MG 40%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 44%).

What time is Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?

Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG (Serie A) was played on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 22:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG?

The double chance 12 (Sao Paulo or Atletico-MG) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.33. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Serie A table

Sao Paulo10th44 pts
Atletico-MG7th50 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Flamengo 342374 4276
2 Palmeiras 3421103 3973
3 Cruzeiro 3418610 760
4 Fluminense 341699 1357
5 Atletico Paranaense 3415910 854
6 Bahia 3414119 553
7 Atletico-MG 3414812 450
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 547
9 Santos 34121111 147
10 Sao Paulo 3412814 044
11 Botafogo 3411914 -742
12 Coritiba 3411914 -1142
13 Vasco DA Gama 3311814 -741
14 Mirassol 34101014 -940
15 Vitoria 3410816 -1638
16 Internacional 3491114 -438
17 Corinthians 3491015 -637
18 Gremio 3491015 -937
19 Remo 3461117 -2029
20 Chapecoense-sc 334920 -3521