Brazil : Serie A
Recent form
Sao PauloWWDLD
BahiaLWLDWHead to head
Sao Paulo 12 · Draws 7 · Bahia 9 (28 meetings, last 10 below)
Our prediction
Sao Paulo to win
@ 1.99Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Sao Paulo vs Bahia preview
Sao Paulo host Bahia in the Serie A (Brazil) on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.
Our model gives Sao Paulo a 53% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Bahia 29%. That makes our pick Sao Paulo to win with 60% confidence at odds of 1.99. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Sao Paulo or Bahia) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.
Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.1 for Sao Paulo, 1.3 for Bahia). The chance of three or more goals is 42%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).
Form and head to head
Sao Paulo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-W-D-L-D), scoring 6 and conceding 5. Bahia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-D-W), scoring 5 and conceding 7. In their last 10 meetings, Sao Paulo won 12, Bahia won 9 and 7 ended level. In the table, Sao Paulo are 10th with 44 points and Bahia are 6th with 53 points.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
Our prediction is Sao Paulo to win (60% confidence) at odds of 1.99. Win chances: Sao Paulo 53%, draw 18%, Bahia 29%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 42%).
What time is Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
Sao Paulo vs Bahia (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Sao Paulo vs Bahia?
The double chance 12 (Sao Paulo or Bahia) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo |
34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras |
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 39 | 73 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro |
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 60 |
| 4 |  Fluminense |
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 57 |
| 5 |  Atletico Paranaense |
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 54 |
| 6 |  Bahia |
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 53 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG |
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 |  RB Bragantino |
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 47 |
| 9 |  Santos |
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 47 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo |
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |  Botafogo |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |  Coritiba |
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama |
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol |
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |  Vitoria |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |  Internacional |
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |  Corinthians |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |  Gremio |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |  Remo |
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc |
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 |
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