Kenya : FKF Premier League
Recent form
ShabanaWDDDW
Mara SugarWDDLWHead to head
Shabana 2 · Draws 2 · Mara Sugar 4 (8 meetings)
Our prediction
Mara Sugar to win
Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Tap your pick – see what other fans think.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Shabana vs Mara Sugar preview
Shabana host Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League (Kenya) on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 12:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.
Our model gives Shabana a 31% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mara Sugar 58%. That makes our pick Mara Sugar to win with 65% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Shabana or Mara Sugar) covers two of the three results.
Goals: we expect about 2.0 goals (0.4 for Shabana, 1.6 for Mara Sugar). The chance of three or more goals is 32%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (80% confidence).
Form and head to head
Shabana have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (W-D-D-D-W), scoring 5 and conceding 3. Mara Sugar have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-D-L-W), scoring 5 and conceding 5. In their last 8 meetings, Shabana won 2, Mara Sugar won 4 and 2 ended level. In the table, Shabana are 5th with 9 points and Mara Sugar are 6th with 9 points.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Shabana vs Mara Sugar?
Our prediction is Mara Sugar to win (65% confidence). Win chances: Shabana 31%, draw 11%, Mara Sugar 58%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Shabana vs Mara Sugar?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 32%).
What time is Shabana vs Mara Sugar?
Shabana vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 12:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Shabana vs Mara Sugar?
The double chance 12 (Shabana or Mara Sugar) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Migori Youth |
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Bandari |
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ulinzi Stars |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Posta Rangers FC |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 |  Tusker |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 14 |  APS Bomet |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United |
6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
Other matches on Sun 22 Nov
Camachavs
Cinfães