Kenya : FKF Premier League
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SofapakaDLDLL
Mathare UnitedLDLWLHead to head
Sofapaka 12 · Draws 10 · Mathare United 6 (28 meetings, last 10 below)
Our prediction
Sofapaka to win
Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Final score: 2 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Sofapaka vs Mathare United preview and result
Sofapaka and Mathare United met in the FKF Premier League on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 13:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 2, 1 - 1 at half time.
Our model gives Sofapaka a 50% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mathare United 39%. Our pick was Sofapaka to win with 60% confidence. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Sofapaka or Mathare United) covers two of the three results.
Goals: we expect about 1.8 goals (0.0 for Sofapaka, 1.8 for Mathare United). The chance of three or more goals is 28%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (85% confidence). 4 goals were scored.
Form and head to head
Sofapaka have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-D-L-L), scoring 4 and conceding 14. Mathare United have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-D-L-W-L), scoring 4 and conceding 6. In their last 10 meetings, Sofapaka won 12, Mathare United won 6 and 10 ended level.
Frequently asked questions
What was the prediction for Sofapaka vs Mathare United?
Our pre-match prediction is Sofapaka to win (60% confidence). Win chances: Sofapaka 50%, draw 11%, Mathare United 39%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sofapaka vs Mathare United?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 28%).
What time is Sofapaka vs Mathare United?
Sofapaka vs Mathare United (FKF Premier League) was played on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 13:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Sofapaka vs Mathare United?
The double chance 12 (Sofapaka or Mathare United) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards |
6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari |
6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth |
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United |
6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz |
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
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