Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Championship · Tue 12 May 2026
England flag England : Championship
SouthamptonWLWWD
2 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
MiddlesbroughWDWWL
Kick-offTue 12 May, 20:00
Our tip2 @ 3.00 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip2 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
SouthamptonWLWWD
03 Nov 26AWest Brom1 - 1Championship
31 Oct 26HQPR4 - 1Championship
11 Oct 26HPortsmouth1 - 0Championship
19 Sep 26AWrexham1 - 2Championship
12 Sep 26HBristol City4 - 1Championship
MiddlesbroughWDWWL
04 Nov 26AWrexham0 - 2Championship
31 Oct 26HCharlton3 - 0Championship
23 Oct 26ABolton5 - 1Championship
17 Oct 26HCardiff2 - 2Championship
13 Oct 26AStoke City3 - 2Championship

Head to head

Full head to head: Southampton vs Middlesbrough →

Our prediction

Middlesbrough to win

@ 3.00
Double chance
12  •  Southampton or Middlesbrough
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.60
Confidence
55%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 51%Under 2.5: 49%
Expected goals
1.28Southampton
2.73Total
1.45Middlesbrough

Win probability

Southampton40%
Draw17%
Middlesbrough43%

Odds (1X2)

12.16
X3.60
23.00

Southampton vs Middlesbrough preview and result

Southampton and Middlesbrough met in the Championship on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 20:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Southampton a 40% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Middlesbrough 43%. Our pick was Middlesbrough to win with 55% confidence at odds of 3.00. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Southampton or Middlesbrough) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.3 for Southampton, 1.5 for Middlesbrough). The chance of three or more goals is 51%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Southampton have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-W-D), scoring 11 and conceding 5. Middlesbrough have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-D-W-W-L), scoring 13 and conceding 7. In the table, Southampton are 7th with 24 points and Middlesbrough are 1st with 28 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Southampton vs Middlesbrough?

Our pre-match prediction is Middlesbrough to win (55% confidence) at odds of 3.00. Win chances: Southampton 40%, draw 17%, Middlesbrough 43%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Middlesbrough?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 51%).

What time is Southampton vs Middlesbrough?

Southampton vs Middlesbrough (Championship) was played on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 20:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Southampton vs Middlesbrough?

The double chance 12 (Southampton or Middlesbrough) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Championship table

Southampton7th24 pts
Middlesbrough1st28 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Middlesbrough 14842 1128
2 Wolves 14833 827
3 Birmingham 14752 1326
4 Stoke City 14824 526
5 Swansea 14824 526
6 West Brom 14743 525
7 Southampton 14842 1524
8 West Ham 14653 1523
9 Sheffield Utd 14644 322
10 Portsmouth 14644 322
11 QPR 14563 521
12 Norwich 14608 318
13 Millwall 14536 -118
14 Blackburn 14536 -218
15 Bristol City 14536 -318
16 Wrexham 14455 -217
17 Bolton 14527 -717
18 Cardiff 14365 -115
19 Lincoln 14437 -1015
20 Watford 14428 -1014
21 Charlton 14356 -1114
22 Burnley 14176 -810
23 Derby 14149 -187
24 Preston 141211 -185