Europe : UEFA Nations League
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SwedenLWWDW
PolandDLWLHead to head
Our prediction
Sweden to win
@ 2.00Goals outlook
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Sweden vs Poland preview and result
Sweden and Poland met in the UEFA Nations League on Monday 28 September 2026 at 19:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.
Our model gives Sweden a 52% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Poland 31%. Our pick was Sweden to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.00. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Sweden or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.
Goals: we expect about 1.5 goals (1.5 for Sweden, 0.0 for Poland). The chance of three or more goals is 19%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (90% confidence). 4 goals were scored.
Form and head to head
Sweden have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-D-W), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Poland have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches (D-L-W-L), scoring 7 and conceding 4.
Frequently asked questions
What was the prediction for Sweden vs Poland?
Our pre-match prediction is Sweden to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.00. Win chances: Sweden 52%, draw 17%, Poland 31%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sweden vs Poland?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 19%).
What time is Sweden vs Poland?
Sweden vs Poland (UEFA Nations League) was played on Monday 28 September 2026 at 19:45 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Sweden vs Poland?
The double chance 1X (Sweden or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
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