Sweden vs Poland Prediction

UEFA Nations League · Mon 28 Sep 2026
Europe : UEFA Nations League
SwedenLWWDW
3 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
PolandDLWL
Kick-offMon 28 Sep, 19:45
Our tip1 @ 2.00 ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Backup1X ✓
GoalsUnder 2.5 ✗
Both scoredYes

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
SwedenLWWDW
05 Oct 26ARomania1 - 0UEFA Nations League
02 Oct 26ABosnia & Herzegovina1 - 1UEFA Nations League
28 Sep 26HPoland3 - 1UEFA Nations League
25 Sep 26HRomania2 - 1UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 26AFrance0 - 3World Cup
PolandDLWL
05 Oct 26ABosnia & Herzegovina0 - 1UEFA Nations League
02 Oct 26HRomania6 - 0UEFA Nations League
28 Sep 26ASweden1 - 3UEFA Nations League
25 Sep 26HBosnia & Herzegovina0 - 0UEFA Nations League

Head to head

Full head to head: Sweden vs Poland →

Our prediction

Sweden to win

@ 2.00
Backup prediction
1X  •  Sweden or Draw
@ 1.30
Confidence
60%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 19%Under 2.5: 81%
Expected goals
1.50Sweden
1.50Total
0.00Poland

Win probability

Sweden52%
Draw17%
Poland31%

Odds (1X2)

12.00
X3.50
23.20

Sweden vs Poland preview and result

Sweden and Poland met in the UEFA Nations League on Monday 28 September 2026 at 19:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Sweden a 52% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Poland 31%. Our pick was Sweden to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.00. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Sweden or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 1.5 goals (1.5 for Sweden, 0.0 for Poland). The chance of three or more goals is 19%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (90% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Sweden have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-W-W-D-W), scoring 7 and conceding 6. Poland have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches (D-L-W-L), scoring 7 and conceding 4.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Sweden vs Poland?

Our pre-match prediction is Sweden to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.00. Win chances: Sweden 52%, draw 17%, Poland 31%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sweden vs Poland?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 19%).

What time is Sweden vs Poland?

Sweden vs Poland (UEFA Nations League) was played on Monday 28 September 2026 at 19:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Sweden vs Poland?

The double chance 1X (Sweden or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.