Tapatío vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction

Liga De Expansión MX · Mon 7 Sep 2026

Mexico : Liga De Expansión MX

Tapatío

1 - 3

Full time · HT 0 - 1

Leones Negros UDG

Kick-offMon 7 Sep, 00:00

Our tip1 @ 2.25 ✗

GoalsOver 2.5

Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗

Double chance12 ✓

BTTSYes ✓

Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Tapatío 5 · Draws 6 · Leones Negros UDG 7 (18 meetings, last 10 below)

06 Sep 26Tapatío1 - 3Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX

30 Jan 26Tapatío2 - 0Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX

23 Aug 25Leones Negros UDG1 - 1TapatíoLiga de Expansión MX

08 Jun 25Leones Negros UDG1 - 2TapatíoLiga de Expansión MX

01 Jun 25Tapatío1 - 0Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX

12 Jan 25Tapatío2 - 3Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX

28 Dec 24Leones Negros UDG3 - 0TapatíoFriendlies Clubs

18 Nov 24Tapatío2 - 2Leones Negros UDGLiga de Expansión MX

15 Nov 24Leones Negros UDG2 - 2TapatíoLiga de Expansión MX

27 Jul 24Leones Negros UDG1 - 1TapatíoLiga de Expansión MX

Full head to head: Tapatío vs Leones Negros UDG →

Our prediction

Tapatío to win

@ 2.25

Double chance

12 • Tapatío or Leones Negros UDG

@ 1.30

Both teams to score

Yes – both teams score

@ 1.67

Confidence

55%

Our record

Our tips in Liga De Expansión MXlast 30 days

15/3247%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Confidence

85%

Over 2.5: 65%Under 2.5: 35%

Expected goals

1.73Tapatío

3.33Total

1.60Leones Negros UDG

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00

1 – 0 Tapatío win 8% @ 8.50

2 – 1 Tapatío win 8% @ 8.50 Our pick

0 – 1 Leones Negros UDG win 6% @ 10.00

1 – 2 Leones Negros UDG win 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 1 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Tapatío44%

Draw17%

Leones Negros UDG39%

Odds (1X2)

12.25

X3.25

22.75

Tapatío vs Leones Negros UDG preview and result

Tapatío and Leones Negros UDG met in the Liga De Expansión MX on Monday 7 September 2026 at 00:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 3, 0 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Tapatío a 44% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Leones Negros UDG 39%. Our pick was Tapatío to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.25. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Tapatío or Leones Negros UDG) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 3.3 goals (1.7 for Tapatío, 1.6 for Leones Negros UDG). The chance of three or more goals is 65%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Tapatío won 5, Leones Negros UDG won 7 and 6 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Tapatío vs Leones Negros UDG?

Our pre-match prediction is Tapatío to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.25. Win chances: Tapatío 44%, draw 17%, Leones Negros UDG 39%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tapatío vs Leones Negros UDG?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 65%).

What time is Tapatío vs Leones Negros UDG?

Tapatío vs Leones Negros UDG (Liga De Expansión MX) was played on Monday 7 September 2026 at 00:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Tapatío vs Leones Negros UDG?

The double chance 12 (Tapatío or Leones Negros UDG) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

More Liga De Expansión MX predictions

Fri 02:00