Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen Prediction

National 1 · Fri 14 Aug 2026
France flag France : National 1
4 - 3
Full time · HT 1 - 2
CaenWLWDW
Kick-offFri 14 Aug, 18:00
Our tip1 @ 1.85 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Thionville LusitanosLLLDW
07 Nov 26HCannes1 - 0National 1
29 Oct 26AAmiens1 - 1National 1
17 Oct 26HVersailles1 - 2National 1
03 Oct 26ALe Puy Foot0 - 1National 1
26 Sep 26HLa Roche VF1 - 2National 1
CaenWLWDW
07 Nov 26HVersailles1 - 0National 1
31 Oct 26ALe Puy Foot2 - 2National 1
15 Oct 26HLa Roche VF2 - 1National 1
03 Oct 26AFleury 912 - 3National 1
24 Sep 26HRouen3 - 2National 1

Head to head

Full head to head: Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen →

Our prediction

Thionville Lusitanos to win

@ 1.85
Double chance
1X  •  Thionville Lusitanos or Draw
@ 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.80
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Thionville Lusitanoslast 17 tipped matches
8/1747%
Our tips on Caenlast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips in National 1last 30 days
14/2752%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
90%
Over 2.5: 68%Under 2.5: 32%
Expected goals
1.51Thionville Lusitanos
3.50Total
1.99Caen

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
1 – 0 Thionville Lusitanos win 10% @ 6.00
2 – 1 Thionville Lusitanos win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Thionville Lusitanos win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 4 – 3 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Thionville Lusitanos66%
Draw24%
Caen10%

Odds (1X2)

11.85
X3.35
23.75

Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen preview and result

Thionville Lusitanos and Caen met in the National 1 on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 4 - 3, 1 - 2 at half time.

Our model gives Thionville Lusitanos a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Caen 10%. Our pick was Thionville Lusitanos to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.85. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Thionville Lusitanos or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 3.5 goals (1.5 for Thionville Lusitanos, 2.0 for Caen). The chance of three or more goals is 68%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (90% confidence). 7 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Thionville Lusitanos have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-L-D-W), scoring 4 and conceding 6. Caen have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (W-L-W-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 8.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen?

Our pre-match prediction is Thionville Lusitanos to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.85. Win chances: Thionville Lusitanos 66%, draw 24%, Caen 10%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 90% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 68%).

What time is Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen?

Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen (National 1) was played on Friday 14 August 2026 at 18:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen?

The double chance 1X (Thionville Lusitanos or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.