Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Liga MX · Sun 3 May 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
Tigres UANLDLDLL
3 - 1
Full time · HT 1 - 1
Guadalajara ChivasDDWWW
Kick-offSun 3 May, 02:00
Our tip1 @ 1.92 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence80%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance1X ✓
BTTSYes ✓
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Tigres UANLDLDLL
07 Nov 26HCruz Azul2 - 3Liga MX
31 Oct 26ACF Pachuca0 - 3Liga MX
25 Oct 26AU.N.A.M. - Pumas1 - 1Liga MX
21 Oct 26HLeon0 - 2Liga MX
17 Oct 26AGuadalajara Chivas1 - 1Liga MX
Guadalajara ChivasDDWWW
01 Nov 26HAtlante FC4 - 2Liga MX
25 Oct 26AMonterrey1 - 0Liga MX
21 Oct 26HNecaxa1 - 0Liga MX
17 Oct 26HTigres UANL1 - 1Liga MX
11 Oct 26AAtlas1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Full head to head: Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas →

Our prediction

Tigres UANL to win

@ 1.92
Double chance
1X  •  Tigres UANL or Draw
@ 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.83
Confidence
80%

Our record

Our tips on Tigres UANLlast 20 tipped matches
3/2015%
Our tips in Liga MXlast 30 days
24/4652%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 55%Under 2.5: 45%
Expected goals
1.62Tigres UANL
2.89Total
1.27Guadalajara Chivas

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Tigres UANL win 11% @ 5.75
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
2 – 1 Tigres UANL win 9% @ 7.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Tigres UANL win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50

Final score: 3 – 1 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Tigres UANL70%
Draw19%
Guadalajara Chivas11%

Odds (1X2)

11.92
X3.40
23.95

Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas preview and result

Tigres UANL and Guadalajara Chivas met in the Liga MX on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 1 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Tigres UANL a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Guadalajara Chivas 11%. Our pick was Tigres UANL to win with 80% confidence at odds of 1.92. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Tigres UANL or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.9 goals (1.6 for Tigres UANL, 1.3 for Guadalajara Chivas). The chance of three or more goals is 55%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Tigres UANL have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-D-L-L), scoring 4 and conceding 10. Guadalajara Chivas have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-W-W-W), scoring 8 and conceding 4. In the table, Tigres UANL are 15th with 15 points and Guadalajara Chivas are 3rd with 30 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Our pre-match prediction is Tigres UANL to win (80% confidence) at odds of 1.92. Win chances: Tigres UANL 70%, draw 19%, Guadalajara Chivas 11%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 55%).

What time is Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas (Liga MX) was played on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?

The double chance 1X (Tigres UANL or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Tigres UANL15th15 pts
Guadalajara Chivas3rd30 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 161024 1132
2 Club America 16862 1530
3 Guadalajara Chivas 16862 1130
4 Toluca 16763 1427
5 Atlas 16835 -327
6 Santos Laguna 16817 325
7 Leon 16655 223
8 CF Pachuca 16646 922
9 Club Tijuana 16574 322
10 Monterrey 15636 121
11 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 16565 -221
12 Club Queretaro 15627 -520
13 Puebla 16547 -419
14 Atletico San Luis 16547 -519
15 Tigres UANL 16367 -815
16 Atlante FC 16358 -1014
17 Necaxa 16349 -1113
18 FC Juarez 163211 -2111