Mexico : Liga MX
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TolucaDDDDW
AtlasDWLWWHead to head
Toluca 12 · Draws 7 · Atlas 4 (23 meetings, last 10 below)
Our prediction
Toluca to win
@ 1.33Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Final score: 1 – 1 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Toluca vs Atlas preview and result
Toluca and Atlas met in the Liga MX on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 1, 0 - 0 at half time.
Our model gives Toluca a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atlas 12%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.33. The pick lost this time ✗.
Goals: we expect about 3.1 goals (1.8 for Toluca, 1.2 for Atlas). The chance of three or more goals is 59%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence). 2 goals were scored.
Form and head to head
Toluca have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Atlas have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-L-W-W), scoring 10 and conceding 9. In their last 10 meetings, Toluca won 12, Atlas won 4 and 7 ended level. In the table, Toluca are 4th with 27 points and Atlas are 5th with 27 points.
Frequently asked questions
What was the prediction for Toluca vs Atlas?
Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.33. Win chances: Toluca 68%, draw 20%, Atlas 12%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toluca vs Atlas?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 59%).
What time is Toluca vs Atlas?
Toluca vs Atlas (Liga MX) was played on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca |
16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas |
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna |
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon |
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca |
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana |
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey |
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro |
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla |
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis |
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL |
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC |
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa |
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez |
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -21 | 11 |
More Liga MX predictions
Other matches on Sun 15 Mar
Mallorcavs
Espanyol2 - 112:30
Hellas Veronavs
Genoa0 - 201:00
Deportivo Ayensevs
FC RacingTip 101:00
Gavilanes FC Matamorosvs
Deportivo Zap0 - 101:00
Jaguares de Chiapasvs
Tapachula1 - 301:00
Club Sandovs
Prison Service0 - 101:00
Sporting San Josevs
San Carlos1 - 001:00
FC Tulsavs
San Antonio0 - 001:00
Rosario Centralvs
Banfield2 - 101:00
Monte Roraimavs
GAS3 - 3

Cruz Azul
Club America
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
Atlas
Santos Laguna
Leon
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club Queretaro
Puebla
Atletico San Luis
Tigres UANL
Atlante FC
Necaxa
FC Juarez
Mazatlán