Mexico : Liga MX
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TolucaDDDDW
AtlasDWLWWHead to head
Toluca 12 · Draws 7 · Atlas 4 (23 meetings, last 10 below)
Our prediction
Toluca to win
@ 1.44Our record
Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.
Who will win?
Voting closed at kick-off.
Goals outlook
Possible correct scores
Final score: 5 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Toluca vs Atlas preview and result
Toluca and Atlas met in the Liga MX on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:05 (Nigerian time). The match finished 5 - 2, 3 - 0 at half time.
Our model gives Toluca a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlas 11%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.44. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.11.
Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.7 for Toluca, 1.0 for Atlas). The chance of three or more goals is 50%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 7 goals were scored.
Form and head to head
Toluca have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-D-D-D-W), scoring 10 and conceding 6. Atlas have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-L-W-W), scoring 10 and conceding 9. In their last 10 meetings, Toluca won 12, Atlas won 4 and 7 ended level. In the table, Toluca are 4th with 27 points and Atlas are 5th with 27 points.
Frequently asked questions
What was the prediction for Toluca vs Atlas?
Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.44. Win chances: Toluca 64%, draw 25%, Atlas 11%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toluca vs Atlas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 50%).
What time is Toluca vs Atlas?
Toluca vs Atlas (Liga MX) was played on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:05 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Toluca vs Atlas?
The double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.11. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cruz Azul |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 32 |
| 2 |  Club America |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas |
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 |  Toluca |
16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 27 |
| 5 |  Atlas |
16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 27 |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna |
16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 |  Leon |
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 |  CF Pachuca |
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana |
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Monterrey |
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 12 |  Club Queretaro |
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 |  Puebla |
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis |
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL |
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC |
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 |  Necaxa |
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez |
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -21 | 11 |
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