Toluca vs Leon Prediction

Leagues Cup · Thu 3 Sep 2026
North & Central America : Leagues Cup
Toluca logoTolucaLDDDD
2 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Leon logoLeonDLWDL
Kick-offThu 3 Sep, 02:00
Our tip1 @ 1.81 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence70%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Backup1X ✓
GoalsOver 2.5 ✗
Both scoredNo

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
TolucaLDDDD
01 Nov 26AClub America2 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26ALeon1 - 1Liga MX
22 Oct 26HClub Tijuana2 - 2Liga MX
18 Oct 26HAtletico San Luis1 - 1Liga MX
10 Oct 26ATigres UANL2 - 3Liga MX
LeonDLWDL
02 Nov 26ACruz Azul1 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26HToluca1 - 1Liga MX
21 Oct 26ATigres UANL2 - 0Liga MX
18 Oct 26HClub America3 - 5Liga MX
10 Oct 26APuebla1 - 1Liga MX

Head to head

Our prediction

Toluca to win

@ 1.81
Backup prediction
1X  •  Toluca or Draw
@ 1.22
Confidence
70%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 52%Under 2.5: 48%
Expected goals
1.29Toluca
2.75Total
1.46Leon

Win probability

Toluca64%
Draw23%
Leon13%

Odds (1X2)

11.81
X3.80
23.95

Toluca vs Leon preview and result

Toluca and Leon met in the Leagues Cup on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 02:00 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Toluca a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leon 13%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 70% confidence at odds of 1.81. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.22.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.3 for Toluca, 1.5 for Leon). The chance of three or more goals is 52%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Toluca have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-D-D-D-D), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Leon have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-W-D-L), scoring 8 and conceding 9.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Toluca vs Leon?

Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (70% confidence) at odds of 1.81. Win chances: Toluca 64%, draw 23%, Leon 13%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toluca vs Leon?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 52%).

What time is Toluca vs Leon?

Toluca vs Leon (Leagues Cup) was played on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Toluca vs Leon?

The double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.22. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.