Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction

Liga MX · Sun 8 Nov 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
Toluca logoToluca
02:00
Sun 8 Nov, 02:00
Monterrey logoMonterrey
Kick-offSun 8 Nov, 02:00
Our tip1 @ 1.62
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence85%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Our prediction

Toluca to win

@ 1.62
Backup prediction
1X  •  Toluca or Draw
@ 1.18
Confidence
85%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 66%Under 2.5: 34%
Expected goals
1.50Toluca
3.41Total
1.91Monterrey

Win probability

Toluca75%
Draw16%
Monterrey9%

Odds (1X2)

11.62
X4.20
24.50

Toluca vs Monterrey preview

Toluca host Monterrey in the Liga MX (Mexico) on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Toluca a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Monterrey 9%. That makes our pick Toluca to win with 85% confidence at odds of 1.62. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.

Goals: we expect about 3.4 goals (1.5 for Toluca, 1.9 for Monterrey). The chance of three or more goals is 66%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

In the table, Toluca are 5th with 24 points and Monterrey are 9th with 21 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Toluca vs Monterrey?

Our prediction is Toluca to win (85% confidence) at odds of 1.62. Win chances: Toluca 75%, draw 16%, Monterrey 9%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toluca vs Monterrey?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 66%).

What time is Toluca vs Monterrey?

Toluca vs Monterrey (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Toluca vs Monterrey?

The double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Toluca5th24 pts
Monterrey9th21 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Club America 15852 1529
2 Guadalajara Chivas 15852 1129
3 Cruz Azul 15924 1029
4 Atlas 15834 027
5 Toluca 15663 1024
6 Club Tijuana 15573 422
7 Leon 15645 222
8 Santos Laguna 15717 122
9 Monterrey 14635 521
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15555 -220
11 Club Queretaro 14626 -320
12 CF Pachuca 15546 619
13 Atletico San Luis 15546 -419
14 Puebla 15447 -616
15 Tigres UANL 15366 -715
16 Atlante FC 15357 -814
17 Necaxa 15249 -1210
18 FC Juarez 152211 -228