Mexico : Liga MX
Toluca
MonterreyRecent form
Head to head
Our prediction
Toluca to win
@ 1.62Goals outlook
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Toluca vs Monterrey preview
Toluca host Monterrey in the Liga MX (Mexico) on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.
Our model gives Toluca a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Monterrey 9%. That makes our pick Toluca to win with 85% confidence at odds of 1.62. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.18.
Goals: we expect about 3.4 goals (1.5 for Toluca, 1.9 for Monterrey). The chance of three or more goals is 66%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).
Form and head to head
In the table, Toluca are 5th with 24 points and Monterrey are 9th with 21 points.
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Toluca vs Monterrey?
Our prediction is Toluca to win (85% confidence) at odds of 1.62. Win chances: Toluca 75%, draw 16%, Monterrey 9%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toluca vs Monterrey?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 66%).
What time is Toluca vs Monterrey?
Toluca vs Monterrey (Liga MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 02:00 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Toluca vs Monterrey?
The double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.18. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul |
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Atlas |
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana |
15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Leon |
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 22 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna |
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Monterrey |
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Club Queretaro |
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 | CF Pachuca |
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis |
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 | Puebla |
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL |
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC |
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa |
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez |
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -22 | 8 |
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Toluca
Monterrey