Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction

Leagues Cup · Mon 7 Sep 2026
North & Central America : Leagues Cup
Toluca
2 - 0
Full time · HT 1 - 0
Monterrey
Kick-offMon 7 Sep, 02:15
Our tip1 @ 2.00 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence60%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSYes ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✗

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Toluca 10 · Draws 6 · Monterrey 10 (26 meetings, last 10 below)

03 Oct 26Monterrey2 - 1TolucaFriendlies Clubs
07 Sep 26Toluca2 - 0MonterreyLeagues Cup
11 Jan 26Monterrey0 - 1TolucaLiga MX
07 Dec 25Toluca3 - 2MonterreyLiga MX
04 Dec 25Monterrey1 - 0TolucaLiga MX
25 Sep 25Toluca6 - 2MonterreyLiga MX
11 May 25Toluca2 - 1MonterreyLiga MX
08 May 25Monterrey3 - 2TolucaLiga MX
19 Jan 25Toluca1 - 1MonterreyLiga MX
01 Sep 24Monterrey1 - 2TolucaLiga MX

Full head to head: Toluca vs Monterrey →

Our prediction

Toluca to win

@ 2.00
Double chance
12  •  Toluca or Monterrey
@ 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.67
Confidence
60%

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 53%Under 2.5: 47%
Expected goals
1.48Toluca
2.80Total
1.32Monterrey

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
1 – 0 Toluca win 8% @ 7.50
2 – 1 Toluca win 8% @ 8.00 Our pick
2 – 0 Toluca win 6% @ 10.00 ✓ Final score
0 – 0 Draw 6% @ 10.00

Final score: 2 – 0 – in our list ✓. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Toluca53%
Draw18%
Monterrey29%

Odds (1X2)

12.00
X3.10
23.10

Toluca vs Monterrey preview and result

Toluca and Monterrey met in the Leagues Cup on Monday 7 September 2026 at 02:15 (Nigerian time). The match finished 2 - 0, 1 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Toluca a 53% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Monterrey 29%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 60% confidence at odds of 2.00. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Toluca or Monterrey) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.30.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.5 for Toluca, 1.3 for Monterrey). The chance of three or more goals is 53%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence). 2 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

In their last 10 meetings, Toluca won 10, Monterrey won 10 and 6 ended level.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Toluca vs Monterrey?

Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (60% confidence) at odds of 2.00. Win chances: Toluca 53%, draw 18%, Monterrey 29%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toluca vs Monterrey?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 53%).

What time is Toluca vs Monterrey?

Toluca vs Monterrey (Leagues Cup) was played on Monday 7 September 2026 at 02:15 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Toluca vs Monterrey?

The double chance 12 (Toluca or Monterrey) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.30. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.