Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction

Liga MX · Mon 3 Aug 2026
Mexico flag Mexico : Liga MX
TolucaLDDDD
3 - 1
Full time · HT 2 - 1
NecaxaDLLDL
Kick-offMon 3 Aug, 02:10
Our tip1 @ 1.52 ✓
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✓
Backup1X ✓
GoalsOver 2.5 ✓
Both scoredYes

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
TolucaLDDDD
01 Nov 26AClub America2 - 2Liga MX
24 Oct 26ALeon1 - 1Liga MX
22 Oct 26HClub Tijuana2 - 2Liga MX
18 Oct 26HAtletico San Luis1 - 1Liga MX
10 Oct 26ATigres UANL2 - 3Liga MX
NecaxaDLLDL
01 Nov 26ASantos Laguna0 - 1Liga MX
24 Oct 26HFC Juarez1 - 1Liga MX
21 Oct 26AGuadalajara Chivas0 - 1Liga MX
17 Oct 26HAtlas0 - 2Liga MX
11 Oct 26ACF Pachuca3 - 3Liga MX

Head to head

Toluca 2 · Draws 0 · Necaxa 0 (2 meetings)

03 Aug 26Toluca3 - 1NecaxaLiga MX
22 Feb 26Necaxa0 - 3TolucaLiga MX

Full head to head: Toluca vs Necaxa →

Our prediction

Toluca to win

@ 1.52
Backup prediction
1X  •  Toluca or Draw
@ 1.14
Confidence
75%

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 52%Under 2.5: 48%
Expected goals
1.18Toluca
2.75Total
1.57Necaxa

Win probability

Toluca67%
Draw17%
Necaxa16%

Odds (1X2)

11.52
X4.35
25.50

Toluca vs Necaxa preview and result

Toluca and Necaxa met in the Liga MX on Monday 3 August 2026 at 02:10 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 2 - 1 at half time.

Our model gives Toluca a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Necaxa 16%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.52. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.14.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.2 for Toluca, 1.6 for Necaxa). The chance of three or more goals is 52%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Toluca have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-D-D-D-D), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Necaxa have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-D-L), scoring 4 and conceding 8. In their last 2 meetings, Toluca won 2, Necaxa won 0 and 0 ended level. In the table, Toluca are 5th with 24 points and Necaxa are 17th with 10 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Toluca vs Necaxa?

Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.52. Win chances: Toluca 67%, draw 17%, Necaxa 16%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toluca vs Necaxa?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 52%).

What time is Toluca vs Necaxa?

Toluca vs Necaxa (Liga MX) was played on Monday 3 August 2026 at 02:10 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Toluca vs Necaxa?

The double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.14. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga MX table

Toluca5th24 pts
Necaxa17th10 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Club America 15852 1529
2 Guadalajara Chivas 15852 1129
3 Cruz Azul 15924 1029
4 Atlas 15834 027
5 Toluca 15663 1024
6 Club Tijuana 15573 422
7 Leon 15645 222
8 Santos Laguna 15717 122
9 Monterrey 14635 521
10 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15555 -220
11 Club Queretaro 14626 -320
12 CF Pachuca 15546 619
13 Atletico San Luis 15546 -419
14 Puebla 15447 -616
15 Tigres UANL 15366 -715
16 Atlante FC 15357 -814
17 Necaxa 15249 -1210
18 FC Juarez 152211 -228