Mexico : Liga MX
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TolucaLDDDD
NecaxaDLLDLHead to head
Toluca 2 · Draws 0 · Necaxa 0 (2 meetings)
Our prediction
Toluca to win
@ 1.52Goals outlook
Win probability
Odds (1X2)
Toluca vs Necaxa preview and result
Toluca and Necaxa met in the Liga MX on Monday 3 August 2026 at 02:10 (Nigerian time). The match finished 3 - 1, 2 - 1 at half time.
Our model gives Toluca a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Necaxa 16%. Our pick was Toluca to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.52. The pick came in ✓. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.14.
Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.2 for Toluca, 1.6 for Necaxa). The chance of three or more goals is 52%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 4 goals were scored.
Form and head to head
Toluca have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-D-D-D-D), scoring 8 and conceding 9. Necaxa have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (D-L-L-D-L), scoring 4 and conceding 8. In their last 2 meetings, Toluca won 2, Necaxa won 0 and 0 ended level. In the table, Toluca are 5th with 24 points and Necaxa are 17th with 10 points.
Frequently asked questions
What was the prediction for Toluca vs Necaxa?
Our pre-match prediction is Toluca to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.52. Win chances: Toluca 67%, draw 17%, Necaxa 16%.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toluca vs Necaxa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 52%).
What time is Toluca vs Necaxa?
Toluca vs Necaxa (Liga MX) was played on Monday 3 August 2026 at 02:10 Nigerian time (WAT).
What is a safe bet for Toluca vs Necaxa?
The double chance 1X (Toluca or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.14. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.
Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 29 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul |
15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Atlas |
15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana |
15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 |
| 7 | Leon |
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 22 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna |
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 22 |
| 9 | Monterrey |
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Club Queretaro |
14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 | CF Pachuca |
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis |
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 19 |
| 14 | Puebla |
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 16 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL |
15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC |
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa |
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Juarez |
15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | -22 | 8 |
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Toluca
Necaxa