Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat 7 Mar 2026
France flag France : Ligue 1
Toulouse
21:05
⏳ Result pending · Sat 7 Mar
Marseille
Kick-offSat 7 Mar, 21:05
Our tip2 @ 2.25
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: Toulouse vs Marseille →

Our prediction

Marseille to win

@ 2.25
Double chance
12  •  Toulouse or Marseille
@ 1.25
Both teams to score
Yes – both teams score
@ 1.62
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips in Ligue 1last 30 days
30/4370%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
85%
Over 2.5: 58%Under 2.5: 42%
Expected goals
0.66Toulouse
3.02Total
2.36Marseille

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 5.75
0 – 1 Marseille win 8% @ 7.50
1 – 2 Marseille win 8% @ 7.50 Our pick
1 – 0 Toulouse win 7% @ 8.50
2 – 1 Toulouse win 7% @ 8.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Toulouse35%
Draw17%
Marseille48%

Odds (1X2)

13.00
X3.45
22.25

Toulouse vs Marseille preview

Toulouse host Marseille in the Ligue 1 (France) on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 21:05 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives Toulouse a 35% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Marseille 48%. That makes our pick Marseille to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.25. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Toulouse or Marseille) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.25.

Goals: we expect about 3.0 goals (0.7 for Toulouse, 2.4 for Marseille). The chance of three or more goals is 58%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (85% confidence).

Form and head to head

In the table, Toulouse are 12th with 13 points and Marseille are 4th with 18 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Toulouse vs Marseille?

Our prediction is Marseille to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.25. Win chances: Toulouse 35%, draw 17%, Marseille 48%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toulouse vs Marseille?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 85% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 58%).

What time is Toulouse vs Marseille?

Toulouse vs Marseille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 21:05 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Toulouse vs Marseille?

The double chance 12 (Toulouse or Marseille) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.25. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Ligue 1 table

Toulouse12th13 pts
Marseille4th18 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 10721 1223
2 Lille 10631 721
3 Paris FC 10622 720
4 Marseille 10604 818
5 Lyon 10523 617
6 Nice 10523 317
7 Monaco 10442 216
8 Rennes 10514 016
9 Stade Brestois 29 10433 615
10 Lorient 10433 115
11 Lens 10415 213
12 Toulouse 10343 113
13 Strasbourg 10316 -410
14 Auxerre 10316 -1110
15 Le Mans 10154 -78
16 Angers 10226 -108
17 Estac Troyes 10226 -108
18 Le Havre 10028 -132