Toulouse vs Paris FC Prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat 21 Feb 2026
France flag France : Ligue 1
ToulouseDWDLW
0 - 0
7'
Paris FCLWLWW
Kick-offSat 21 Feb, 19:00
Our tip1 @ 1.93
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence75%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
ToulouseDWDLW
06 Nov 26HStrasbourg3 - 1Ligue 1
01 Nov 26AMarseille0 - 2Ligue 1
24 Oct 26HEstac Troyes0 - 0Ligue 1
16 Oct 26ALe Mans3 - 0Ligue 1
10 Oct 26AMonaco2 - 2Ligue 1
Paris FCLWLWW
07 Nov 26AAuxerre1 - 0Ligue 1
01 Nov 26HMonaco3 - 1Ligue 1
24 Oct 26ALens1 - 2Ligue 1
18 Oct 26HRennes4 - 3Ligue 1
10 Oct 26ALorient0 - 1Ligue 1

Head to head

Toulouse 3 · Draws 2 · Paris FC 1 (6 meetings)

21 Feb 26Toulouse1 - 1Paris FCLigue 1
13 Dec 25Paris FC0 - 3ToulouseLigue 1
02 Apr 22Toulouse2 - 1Paris FCLigue 2
23 Oct 21Paris FC2 - 2ToulouseLigue 2
01 May 21Paris FC3 - 1ToulouseLigue 2
05 Jan 21Toulouse1 - 0Paris FCLigue 2

Full head to head: Toulouse vs Paris FC →

Our prediction

Toulouse to win

@ 1.93
Double chance
1X  •  Toulouse or Draw
@ 1.23
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.71
Confidence
75%

Our record

Our tips on Toulouselast 20 tipped matches
10/2050%
Our tips on Paris FClast 20 tipped matches
9/2045%
Our tips in Ligue 1last 30 days
24/3667%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
80%
Over 2.5: 53%Under 2.5: 47%
Expected goals
1.88Toulouse
2.80Total
0.92Paris FC

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 Toulouse win 12% @ 6.25
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.50
0 – 0 Draw 9% @ 8.00
2 – 0 Toulouse win 9% @ 8.50
2 – 1 Toulouse win 9% @ 8.50
3 – 0 Toulouse win 5% @ 15.00 Our pick

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Toulouse66%
Draw19%
Paris FC15%

Odds (1X2)

11.93
X3.40
24.10

Toulouse vs Paris FC preview

Toulouse v Paris FC in the Ligue 1 is under way – the score is 0 - 0 (7').

Our model gives Toulouse a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Paris FC 15%. That makes our pick Toulouse to win with 75% confidence at odds of 1.93. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (Toulouse or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.23.

Goals: we expect about 2.8 goals (1.9 for Toulouse, 0.9 for Paris FC). The chance of three or more goals is 53%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (80% confidence).

Form and head to head

Toulouse have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-W-D-L-W), scoring 8 and conceding 5. Paris FC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-W-L-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 7. In their last 6 meetings, Toulouse won 3, Paris FC won 1 and 2 ended level. In the table, Toulouse are 12th with 13 points and Paris FC are 3rd with 20 points.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Toulouse vs Paris FC?

Our prediction is Toulouse to win (75% confidence) at odds of 1.93. Win chances: Toulouse 66%, draw 19%, Paris FC 15%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toulouse vs Paris FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 80% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 53%).

What time is Toulouse vs Paris FC?

Toulouse vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 19:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Toulouse vs Paris FC?

The double chance 1X (Toulouse or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.23. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Ligue 1 table

Toulouse12th13 pts
Paris FC3rd20 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Paris Saint Germain 10721 1223
2 Lille 10631 721
3 Paris FC 10622 720
4 Marseille 10604 818
5 Lyon 10523 617
6 Nice 10523 317
7 Monaco 10442 216
8 Rennes 10514 016
9 Stade Brestois 29 10433 615
10 Lorient 10433 115
11 Lens 10415 213
12 Toulouse 10343 113
13 Strasbourg 10316 -410
14 Auxerre 10316 -1110
15 Le Mans 10154 -78
16 Angers 10226 -108
17 Estac Troyes 10226 -108
18 Le Havre 10028 -132