UD Ourense vs Mérida AD Prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 1 · Sat 14 Nov 2026
Spain flag Spain : Primera División RFEF Group 1
UD Ourense
16:30
Sat 14 Nov, 16:30
Mérida AD
Kick-offSat 14 Nov, 16:30
Our tip2
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence70%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away

Head to head

Full head to head: UD Ourense vs Mérida AD →

Our prediction

Mérida AD to win

Double chance
12  •  UD Ourense or Mérida AD
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
Confidence
70%

Our record

Our tips in Primera División RFEF Group 1last 30 days
21/4646%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Tap your pick – see what other fans think.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 42%Under 2.5: 58%
Expected goals
0.42UD Ourense
2.36Total
1.94Mérida AD

Possible correct scores

0 – 1 Mérida AD win 18% Our pick
0 – 2 Mérida AD win 18%
0 – 3 Mérida AD win 11%
0 – 0 Draw 9%
1 – 1 Draw 8%

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

UD Ourense25%
Draw11%
Mérida AD64%

UD Ourense vs Mérida AD preview

UD Ourense host Mérida AD in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 (Spain) on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives UD Ourense a 25% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mérida AD 64%. That makes our pick Mérida AD to win with 70% confidence. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (UD Ourense or Mérida AD) covers two of the three results.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (0.4 for UD Ourense, 1.9 for Mérida AD). The chance of three or more goals is 42%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Frequently asked questions

Who will win UD Ourense vs Mérida AD?

Our prediction is Mérida AD to win (70% confidence). Win chances: UD Ourense 25%, draw 11%, Mérida AD 64%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in UD Ourense vs Mérida AD?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 42%).

What time is UD Ourense vs Mérida AD?

UD Ourense vs Mérida AD (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:30 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for UD Ourense vs Mérida AD?

The double chance 12 (UD Ourense or Mérida AD) covers two outcomes. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.