União de Leiria vs Penafiel Prediction

Segunda Liga · Sat 18 Apr 2026
Portugal flag Portugal : Segunda Liga
14:00
⏳ Result pending · Sat 18 Apr
PenafielLLWWW
Kick-offSat 18 Apr, 14:00
Our tip1 @ 1.81
GoalsUnder 2.5
Confidence85%

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
União de Leiria

No matches found.

PenafielLLWWW
07 Nov 26AChaves3 - 2Segunda Liga
02 Nov 26HFeirense1 - 0Segunda Liga
24 Oct 26AFarense4 - 1Segunda Liga
17 Oct 26HLeça0 - 1Taça De Portugal
09 Oct 26HAVS1 - 2Segunda Liga

Head to head

Full head to head: União de Leiria vs Penafiel →

Our prediction

União de Leiria to win

@ 1.81
Double chance
1X  •  União de Leiria or Draw
@ 1.17
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.93
Confidence
85%

Our record

Our tips on Penafiellast 20 tipped matches
12/2060%
Our tips in Segunda Ligalast 30 days
9/2733%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 43%Under 2.5: 57%
Expected goals
1.20União de Leiria
2.40Total
1.20Penafiel

Possible correct scores

1 – 0 União de Leiria win 11% @ 6.00 Our pick
1 – 1 Draw 11% @ 6.00
2 – 1 União de Leiria win 10% @ 6.50
2 – 0 União de Leiria win 8% @ 7.50
0 – 0 Draw 7% @ 8.50

Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

União de Leiria75%
Draw16%
Penafiel9%

Odds (1X2)

11.81
X3.35
24.10

União de Leiria vs Penafiel preview

União de Leiria host Penafiel in the Segunda Liga (Portugal) on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time. Here is our prediction, the odds, both teams' recent form and their head-to-head record.

Our model gives União de Leiria a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Penafiel 9%. That makes our pick União de Leiria to win with 85% confidence at odds of 1.81. For a safer option, the double chance 1X (União de Leiria or Draw) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.17.

Goals: we expect about 2.4 goals (1.2 for União de Leiria, 1.2 for Penafiel). The chance of three or more goals is 43%, so our goals pick is Under 2.5 (75% confidence).

Form and head to head

Penafiel have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (L-L-W-W-W), scoring 9 and conceding 6.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win União de Leiria vs Penafiel?

Our prediction is União de Leiria to win (85% confidence) at odds of 1.81. Win chances: União de Leiria 75%, draw 16%, Penafiel 9%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in União de Leiria vs Penafiel?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Our pick is Under 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 43%).

What time is União de Leiria vs Penafiel?

União de Leiria vs Penafiel (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 14:00 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for União de Leiria vs Penafiel?

The double chance 1X (União de Leiria or Draw) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.17. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.