Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Prediction

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sat 19 Sep 2026
Argentina flag Argentina : Liga Profesional Argentina
Union Santa FeLDWDW
1 - 2
Full time · HT 0 - 0
IndependienteDDLDW
Kick-offSat 19 Sep, 20:45
Our tip1 @ 2.38 ✗
GoalsOver 2.5
Confidence55%

Full-time report

Our tip1 ✗
Double chance12 ✓
BTTSNo ✗
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 ✓

Recent form

Last 5 matches, home and away
Union Santa FeLDWDW
08 Nov 26HVelez Sarsfield2 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina
01 Nov 26ANewells Old Boys1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Oct 26HEstudiantes L.P.3 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Oct 26ADeportivo Riestra1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
10 Oct 26HDefensa Y Justicia0 - 2Liga Profesional Argentina
IndependienteDDLDW
08 Nov 26HDeportivo Riestra2 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
31 Oct 26ADefensa Y Justicia1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Oct 26HBoca Juniors0 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
18 Oct 26ARacing Club1 - 1Liga Profesional Argentina
12 Oct 26ATalleres Cordoba0 - 0Liga Profesional Argentina

Head to head

Full head to head: Union Santa Fe vs Independiente →

Our prediction

Union Santa Fe to win

@ 2.38
Double chance
12  •  Union Santa Fe or Independiente
@ 1.36
Both teams to score
No – at least one team fails to score
@ 1.75
Confidence
55%

Our record

Our tips on Union Santa Felast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips on Independientelast 20 tipped matches
7/2035%
Our tips in Liga Profesional Argentinalast 30 days
31/6250%

Correct 1X2 tips (home win, draw or away win), checked against the final score.

Who will win?

Voting closed at kick-off.

Goals outlook

Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Confidence
75%
Over 2.5: 50%Under 2.5: 50%
Expected goals
1.85Union Santa Fe
2.68Total
0.83Independiente

Possible correct scores

1 – 1 Draw 12% @ 5.50
1 – 0 Union Santa Fe win 10% @ 6.50
0 – 0 Draw 10% @ 6.50
0 – 1 Independiente win 9% @ 7.50
2 – 0 Union Santa Fe win 7% @ 10.00
3 – 0 Union Santa Fe win 3% @ 23.00 Our pick

Final score: 1 – 2 – not in our list. Exact scores are long shots – even the likeliest score usually comes in only 1 time in 8–10. 18+.

Win probability

Union Santa Fe42%
Draw19%
Independiente39%

Odds (1X2)

12.38
X2.90
23.00

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente preview and result

Union Santa Fe and Independiente met in the Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:45 (Nigerian time). The match finished 1 - 2, 0 - 0 at half time.

Our model gives Union Santa Fe a 42% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Independiente 39%. Our pick was Union Santa Fe to win with 55% confidence at odds of 2.38. The pick lost this time ✗. For a safer option, the double chance 12 (Union Santa Fe or Independiente) covers two of the three results at odds of 1.36.

Goals: we expect about 2.7 goals (1.9 for Union Santa Fe, 0.8 for Independiente). The chance of three or more goals is 50%, so our goals pick is Over 2.5 (75% confidence). 3 goals were scored.

Form and head to head

Union Santa Fe have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (L-D-W-D-W), scoring 7 and conceding 5. Independiente have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (D-D-L-D-W), scoring 4 and conceding 4. In the table, Union Santa Fe are 8th with 21 points and Independiente are 5th with 24 points.

Frequently asked questions

What was the prediction for Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?

Our pre-match prediction is Union Santa Fe to win (55% confidence) at odds of 2.38. Win chances: Union Santa Fe 42%, draw 19%, Independiente 39%.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Our pick is Over 2.5 with 75% confidence (chance of 3+ goals: 50%).

What time is Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente (Liga Profesional Argentina) was played on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:45 Nigerian time (WAT).

What is a safe bet for Union Santa Fe vs Independiente?

The double chance 12 (Union Santa Fe or Independiente) covers two outcomes at odds of 1.36. No bet is risk-free – stake only what you can afford. 18+.

Predictions are estimates from our model, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly. More: today's predictions · Bet Slip Builder · booking codes.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Union Santa Fe8th21 pts
Independiente5th24 pts
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16943 1231
2 Boca Juniors 16862 1330
3 Velez Sarsfield 16772 628
4 Talleres Cordoba 16754 426
5 Independiente 16664 424
6 Lanus 16664 324
7 San Lorenzo 16574 022
8 Union Santa Fe 16565 421
9 Instituto Cordoba 16637 021
10 Defensa Y Justicia 16475 -319
11 Gimnasia M. 16547 -819
12 Platense 16376 -516
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago 16448 -1016
14 Newells Old Boys 16367 -1215
15 Deportivo Riestra 16187 -711